50% off Premium Yearly
Pfizer IncPFECOMMENTSep 01, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 11, 2026. Market Open.
Pharma companies today are divided into the haves and have-nots. Eli Lilly and Vertex are in the 'haves' group. He owns Eli Lilly which could be the biggest of the Pharmas. Also Vertex looks good and has a new Cystic Fibrosis drug. Pfizer has little growth and the stock is under pressure. It pays a high dividend but offers no real dividend growth, He prefers lower paying dividend companies with significant dividend growth ahead rather than companies that pay high dividends now. With this theme in mind The ETF, RDVY, holds companies with the ability to grow dividends. His view is that it is a reflating world and that rates could go up more in the next cycle.
Bought it last year for the 5.9% yield, but with Covid over (and vaccine sales gone), they have nothing. Shares have fallen in the past year. There was disappointment last year, but their obesity pill trial disappointed. Shares are washed out here. There are no expectations, though their drug pipeline is okay.
Down 43% in 2023 and one of the S&P's dogs, falling sharply after Covid. Pfizer keeps facing patent cliffs for its drugs and hitting profit shortfalls. A comeback is possible, but election years made drugmakers targets. Pays a 5.6% dividend and their Seagen deal which could add an excellent cancer franchise.
A contrarian call. They failed to get into the weight-loss drag boom, but that's not necessarily a bad thing. Them buying Seagen will diversify their business by getting the more into oncology which offers strong growth, more sustainable than weight-loss drugs. Offers good long-term growth for 3-5 years.
(Analysts’ price target is $39.58)
This is a company where earnings forecasts have basically flat lined for about 10 years. Therefore, his FMV calculation has also flatlined and hasn’t really gone anywhere. When those things happen to stocks, the market says “forget about it”, and tend to sell off, which could give you some good opportunities to buy. They will then take a little run and fluctuate up and down around the FMV calculation. This stock is about there now, kind of at the midpoint of its valuation. The highs and lows are $27 and $38, and the stock is threading the needle. If it fell back to $27-$28, he would love to buy some for a trade. If it went to $38, he would sell it Short. This is not a “Buy and Hold” strategy, because earnings haven’t gone anywhere for 10 years, which also means the BV hasn’t gone anywhere. You want to start where the balance sheet is rising steadily, so that if you are standing still, the values are rising underneath you. However, if the values are not rising, and the balance sheet is flat lining, you are not getting richer just by standing still.