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Stockchase Opinions

Lorne SteinbergRio TintoRIOCOMMENTJun 21, 2022

Safe dividend? Yes and no. They slashed it during the Great Recession and 2015 when commodities declined. They have a strong balance sheet. Don't expect their dividend to consistently rise. They pay out less when things are good, and pay more when things are good, which is the right thing to do.
$65.40

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$100.26

As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.

other mines
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STRONG BUY

Is struggling given perceived weakness of China's economy. He's owned this a long time and won't sell it. RIO generates a lot of free cash, has a reasonable development pipeline, a great iron business and a good copper business. But traders may see near-term weakness given China's outlook.

BUY

Low-cost leader in the iron ore space, with copper assets and a nice distribution. 


BUY
Upgraded today

It's trading as if iron ore were at $60, so the stock is overly discounted. Pays a huge 7.2% dividend, which pays you a lot alone. Upside is ahead.

BUY

Mainly iron ore, but also copper. Good assets in a lower cost jurisdiction. World-class. Variable dividend based on earnings. Tons of free cashflow. Looking to expand copper, a big growth driver for the next decade. Still cheap. Lots of years left for good returns in the sector.

BUY

A UK company, leveraged to the China reopening and shares are cheap.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 09/22, Down 2%)

It has pulled back recently so you could buy it here. He likes the dividend and its participation in commodity prices. We are in a commodity cycle.

BUY
Followed the trend of buying back shares, increasing dividend, divesting non-core assets. These companies are in much better shape financially than ever before. Capex discipline. Will benefit from China coming back online. Cheap multiple.
BUY
Remains in an uptrend, testing the downtrend. If it can break out above that, you've really got blue skies. Looks like it's trying to start another commodity super-cycle.
WAIT
RIO vs. BHP Both really well run and focused. Trimming portfolios and becoming more efficient. Leans toward BHP, but RIO is good as well. Cautious on the space right now, potential for a recession, and we don't know how deep. Both would get hit in a recession. Steer clear right now, look for something more defensive.
DON'T BUY
A great company, but it needs commodity inflation to come back.
DON'T BUY
A tough call. Minerals may have bottomed, though it's a great company. Doesn't know if the dividend is safe or not.
COMMENT
It has some relationship with the commodity price of iron ore so its dividend varies over the years. It is coming down to 7 to 8% but this still makes it still a good income stock.
HOLD
Mining companies being hit hard by rising interest rates. Investing capital into energy stocks instead. Expecting dividend to be maintained. Believes is a good long term hold.
WAIT
High dividend yield. Iron ore prices were over $200/tonne, but now they're $100, still extremely high. Steel looks particularly weak. Even in a recession, we won't go back to $50, but the yield should normalize closer to 7%. Wait and see, start to dabble in Q4.
WAIT
RIO vs. BHP For commodities as a whole, he's more of a trader, and he's not trading right now. Cyclicality impacts growth trends. Over time, the chart action is pretty horizontal. Both are good companies. Trade, don't put them in the closet and forget about them.