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TSE:SGY
Compared to Whitecap (WCP-T) and Torc (TOG-T)? These are all dividend growth stories with good management teams. All 3 are definitely in the top quartile. Likes this one quite a lot, primarily because he knows the management team. CEO has been a very aggressive buyer of his own shares. This is a company that has done some deals quickly, have raised their dividends at least twice over the past couple of quarters, production growth looks good with a rock solid management team in terms of geographic focus and asset mix.
Chart shows a breakout at around $7. It is perfectly natural for a stock that has broken out of a resistance point, to retest. That looks like what is happening right now. It has had a little bit of a pullback and might retest the $7 area. You want to see the test successful, in other words, hit $7 and bounce off. If that happens, the stock looks strong.
Raised their dividend 3 times in the past year. Have been growing by acquisition. Now is harvest time because in their acquisitions, they will get at, and extract more value out of those assets. The one thing it doesn’t have right now is yield respect i.e. it trades at a pretty healthy yield in a market where the best trade at 4%-5%. Thinks this company will become one of the best. Don’t discount further dividend increases.
This is not contrarian in any way, shape or form. It has a lot of characteristics of the old income trusts and of the ones that got into tremendous trouble. Have zero cash, and just increased their dividend as they take over another company. Increased their debt load and shares outstanding. Looks at this as a stock with a tremendous amount of danger. This will be fascinating to look at in 5 years time, as they will have done really, really well, or may sell off non-core assets to raise money. Wouldn’t go close to this.
3-year chart was compared with its peers through the iShares Capped Energy ETF (XEG-T). There was a huge spread in early 2013, probably due to interest rate fears, but the spread shrunk all of a sudden and got much smaller. It is now becoming a “market perform”, which is a good sign. One year chart indicates it definitely has more upside. 7.7% yield.
This has been doing a good job. They have been using a strategy of acquiring underappreciated assets that have lower declines. He would caution that this is a marketing darling, and the appetite is pretty good for it. He would prefer Crescent Point (CPG-T), but wouldn’t have a problem with this if you wanted to move out the risk spectrum a little. (See Top Picks.)
Just reported, and earnings were up with EPS at $0.20 versus his $0.08 estimate. They closed on Longview in June and reiterated their guidance. The dividend is fine and the payout ratio looks to be below 100%. As long as you are comfortable owning an oil name with oil falling, this is a good one. His instinct would be to try to buy it on a pullback.