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Stockchase Opinions

David McLeanA T & T USTDON'T BUYMar 07, 2001

Too much competition. Not a fan of telecoms
$23.85

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$23.00

As of Jun 11, 2026. Market Open.

Telecommunications
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WEAK BUY

A pure play telco, and they've slowly turned around this business. Will benefit from 5G as more businesses adopt to it. They're improving their balance sheet and investing in the right capex, and slowly seeing benefits. The dividend is safe, though he suggest they slow down hikes and instead use more of their cash flow to pay debt or expand their business.

DON'T BUY

He target $22.84, much higher than now, and it pays a yield of 7.5%, but where's the growth? They blew up their balance sheet (huge) by buying everything in sight like Direct TV. They also made execution mistakes. It looks cheap, but there's no catalyst to go higher. The telcos have take it on the chin, since they're tied to interest rates.

DON'T BUY

Doesn't like their balance sheet and debt and doubts they can sustain their dividend. Sees a bleak outlook.

DON'T BUY

It pays 50% of its free cash flow to its 7% dividend. Phone companies could offer the new Apple VR headset as an incentive to switch phone plans. Either way, Apple stock will come out on top.

BUY

Shares are down 15%, but pays a 7% dividend yield, with $16 billion free cash flow. Are focusing on their core businesses.

COMMENT

How many more times can they stump their toe? True, he likes that they sold their overpriced assets to drill down to their core. The dividend looks safe and the valuation has fallen. He prefers the Canadian telcos which enjoy an oligopoly. That said, there's little downside in AT&T. Their past mistakes are behind them and not ahead.

DON'T BUY
Will they cut their dividend?

The last time, the company told him they wouldn't cut their dividend...then they cut it. So, he doesn't trust them. Consider T-Mobile instead.

BUY

Reports Thursday. Likes it as a ballast in his portfolio. Their 5G spending is moderating. Has been unloved for a while, but they will beat earnings this year.

COMMENT
It's been a clown show, but last quarter they beat expectations by adding significant subscribers while Verizon struggles. He hates AT&T less now. In this space, buy T-Mobil.
BUY
It's disappointed a lot in the past decade, but are undergoing restructuring. They are selling off businesses like content, paying down debt, and focusing on their core businesses. He prefers Canadian telcos, but based on valuation and turnaround progress, AT&T is top in the US. Their last quarter was encouraging. The path forward looks better than in the past decade.
BUY
Different company over the last 30 years. Attractive dividend, which is typical in that space. Not a huge growth profile, generates lots of cash, big capex requirements. Longer term, attractive opportunity as an income stock. Yield of 6%.
DON'T BUY
Restructured, cut dividend. He's not looking at it now. Thinks dividend is safe. Price is getting attractive. Hasn't executed well enough for him. He owns, and prefers, CMCSA. CMCSA has better risk/reward, with upside when cable installs return, a better way to play US telecom.
DON'T BUY
It reports Thursday. They usually put up decent, but boring numbers. Pass.
DON'T BUY
Hasn't done well. Not attracted to it. Bloated balance sheet. You have to hope it takes maket share from others. If you want the dividend and think it's safe, you could nibble.
DON'T BUY
Yield is 8.13%, telling you there's quite a bit of risk. Book value is around $26.50, may go to $27.50 next year. Yes, there may be spinoffs. Sees massive amounts of layoffs ahead. Almost 400B of debt, so if interest rates start to tick up, big trouble. Any big dips, for example to $22, would be a trade.