
TSE:T
Trading in record territory. An income stock in a more defensive industry. Generates a lot of free cash flow and provides very attractive yields. A play on the recovery of Western Canada. It is going to face more competition with Shaw (SJR.B-T) ramping up their wireless presence in Western Canada. Dividend yield of 4.3%.
This is based out of Western Canada, so they haven’t been strong just because of the economic picture. He likes the telecoms and thinks this is a good company. Right now he would prefer BCE (BCE-T) or Rogers (RCI.B-T). If looking for growth on capital, there are probably better places to deploy your money over the short term. However, if you just want to park it and forget it, you are probably fine with this.
The economic recovery in the West benefited them last year. This was the laggard in wireless, and then they were the leader in terms of subscriber additions, and now are at the back of the pack. He is waiting for this to get hit on some macro trade with interest rates. He would like to see it down another 5% combined with another dividend increase.
Sell? He owns this and likes it, but less than he did a couple of years ago. Because they are essentially only in the wireless space, they are going to need to invest significantly in acquiring spectrum and upgrading networks. It’s a CapX heavy business, and there is not a whole lot of growth in it. A safe name to have in your portfolio, but if looking for some real growth over 3-5 years, you need to go to something like Alphabet (GOOGL-Q) or Amazon (AMZN-Q).
A Western Canadian-based telecom provider. Many years ago they made the wise decision not to get into content. They’ve had a very successful record over the years of paying a dividend and growing it. Over the next couple of years, they will have to pay for some spectrum. Debt has increased on their balance sheet, so they really should slow down their dividend growth rate. They will face more competition with Shaw, after Shaw having acquired Wind Mobile.
A good name longer-term, but there are competitive pressures with Shaw right now. Thinks their dividend is going to be over 100% of their free cash flow this year due to their heavy CapX. Trading below its five-year average, and lower than the group. Telecoms are pretty expensive here. They have been acting as a bit of a yield proxy. Excellent management team. If he had great capital gains, he would be selling some of this.
T-T Vs. BCE-T. It is West vs. East. He had to decide when to move toward growth. That means getting rid of some of the "steady Eddies". He owns none of the telecoms right now. Multiples are extremely high. T-T ranks number 1 with customer service and the ability to generate cash flow. Both are great dividend growth companies.
It’s a high wire act, and right at the top of its peak. He needs to see it get above that. If he didn’t have any money in the stock, he would be waiting for it to cross that line. If it got down to around the $34 level, he would probably get into it. Until it proves otherwise, he would be a seller here.
This seems to have a lid somewhere in the $45 area. It is really not a trending stock, it has gone up and down like a yo-yo. Currently it is kind of closing in at around the top of the range, and could get near the top of the range or just decline back down to the high $30s. He probably wouldn’t be a buyer at this time, unless you are just interested in the dividends.