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We have had issues in Canada on telecoms, with the government looking like they want a 4th player, which doesn’t make a lot of sense. At this point, you don’t know exactly how the government will interfere or what they will mandate for the incumbents to be doing. Not her favourite sector, but this is the best one of the lot.
Feels the current management team have done a wonderful job. They have transformed it into the kind of story that he really likes, focusing on their use of capital and the generation of cash. They are looking at consistently trying to drive their cash flow growth at 10% a year and returning capital aggressively to shareholders. Among the majors in Canada, this would be his favourite. On a near-term basis, the entire group are facing the headline risk of what is going to happen with a 4th operator in the country.
Versus its peers, he really likes it. They have the best penetration on wireless and some of the better profit metrics. The group is struggling a little bit and have a few headwinds in their face on an inventory basis. However, he feels that a lot of that is starting to get factored into the stock. He hasn’t owned much telecom in the past year or so. Maybe it’s getting to the point where everybody recognizes that wireless is slowing down and there could be a 4th player out there, but in the end these are great cash generating businesses.
He doesn’t have too much of a position in telecommunications. Going from the 3-year to the 2-year contracts has made it more expensive, and he thinks people are holding on to their phones a little longer. Also, when they do issue new phones, they now have to amortize them over a shorter period of time to recoup their costs. Revenues per person are being squeezed a little. Very competitive market. With the government wanting a 4th national competitor, that could really affect the market to some extent too. Too many uncertainties.