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Trican Well Service Ltd.TCW.TOTOP PICKJan 31, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 19, 2026. Market Open.
TCW has an impressive shareholder yield, with a dividend yield of 1.7%, a buyback yield of 10.8%, and a debt paydown yield of 3.4%. The company is a $971M company with a forward earnings multiple of 8.1X, a low debt profile, growing margins, and great free cash flows, but it does operate in a cyclical industry. Although the company's balance sheet has shrunk since 2018, its share count has also diminished significantly since that timeframe. If an investor has an optimistic outlook on the price of oil and the energy market, we would feel comfortable with the solid execution and fundamentals of this company.
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His theme today is leverage, nice yield, and ability to grow cash. No debt. Trades at 2.5x EBITDA multiple, down from its historic 5x. Services are picking up. Advantaged on the gas side, purest publicly listed frack play in Canada. First Nations issues resolved. LNG Canada could mean a 10% rig pickup. Ultra-clean balance sheet. Nice yield of 1.25%.
(Analysts’ price target is $5.53)
They monetize a portion of their US former operations, which is now in a public company called Keane. The market has been over penalizing the value of that asset, and he expects another $2.10 of future value. If you strip off the value for Keane, the stock is trading at about 4.3X next year’s EBITDA. He thinks they can EBITDA $150 million. If you put a 7.5X multiple on that, he gets over a $7 share price, a 50% upside. (Analysts’ price target is $5.77.)