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TSE:TVE
(A Top Pick June 12/15. Down 24.81%.) A small producer. This got hit, unjustifiably so, because it is an excellent quality company. Management has done an excellent job of rationalizing costs and have been able to maintain some of their property build because of this. Operationally they are doing quite well. She really likes this company. Sound assets and she sees lots of opportunities for them going forward. A great Buy at this point.
Their latest acquisition has helped to correct what has become a bit of a higher debt to cash flow multiple. They have been very, very prudent with growth and with capital management. Have really helped to correct the balance sheet with their latest equity issue and acquisition. She thinks it is going to do pretty phenomenal things going forward.
An oil producer. Conservatively run. Did a nifty little double acquisition in the Wilson Creek area. It was $54 million, and you could tell the market liked it as they could have raised $80 million. Well financed. Solid balance sheet. They are prepared to not spend any money on growth capital, in order to keep the balance sheet clean for any more acquisitions that they might do in this environment.
One of the few light oil companies trading at a deep discount. They paid less for a recent acquisition than the reserves. They also delevered the balance sheet. They now have a 6 year drilling inventory. They can grow by only spending their cash flow. It is one of the few oil opportunities he sees today.
Another example of a business that has continued to surpass the market’s expectations. Had 11 quarters in a row where they beat the estimates on the street. Made an acquisition earlier in the year that was financed higher than today’s stock price. Low operational costs. Little to no debt. Well financed acquisition at Wilson Creek in September set the stage for continued growth.
(A Top Pick Jan 15/14. Down 34.11%.) Still has a lot of respect for management. They are still executing the way he thought they would. The price of oil really started to go against them and capital flows moved out of the stock. It broke down from a technical standpoint, so he sold his holdings. He continues to like it and is still on his radar screen. They are seeing some significant cost reductions happening in their facilities, but also in their drilling costs, which will bring down their production costs. This means that their netbacks, even with the price of oil dropping, are still going to remain fairly high. There is also a pretty good chance that they might sell some of their facilities to give them extra capital, as opposed to having to go to the market.
(A Top Pick Jan 15/14. Down 0.46%.) Sold his holdings in the $5.20 region. Story hasn't really changed much, it's just the dynamics of the industry and that the wind was starting to go in their face, and not at their backs. Great management and great production and are continuing to grow their base. If there was a correction in the price of oil, he would certainly go back into this again.
Recently did a financing just above $7. The whole energy sector has really been beaten up, especially in the last 2 weeks. It’s not just a specific company, but seems to be more of a flow of funds out of the sector. Likes this one. They continue to execute on their plan. Just made a small acquisition and continue to build up their properties. Will probably see higher productions from them. Expect that they will eventually be taken out down the road. Probably cheaper than some of its peers.
The day is gone when they are drilling to try and find a huge 5000 barrel a day well. This is now a manufacturing process. They drill a well and it comes online at 60-80 barrels. After a while it declines down to something like 40-50 barrels a day, and then stays fairly steady. They then try to enhance that production through water, polymer or some kind of enhancement. Have some interesting projects where they are doing a farm-in with Taga North, which allows them to participate in Taga’s property which they’ve bought. They are doing longer segments now on the horizontal so that they only have to pay for a 1 mile segment, not the 2-mile segment that they actually achieved.
(Market Call Minute.) Really solid stand up guys. He just wants the stock to pull back in the next month in what he thinks may be a choppy market.