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Union Pacific CorpUNPCOMMENTJan 26, 2016Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
Great acquisition of Kansas City by CP was a game changer. CNR is the gold standard in North America. US is not in a recession yet, but if it does happen, all the rails will get cheaper. Don't settle for just a 1% differential from the historical average, when you might be able to get it 20% cheaper.
This has had a heck of a correction, almost 50%. The problem is that the earnings forecast has been rising and rising, and has now turned and is going down. This is a reflection on the movement of goods in the US economy, including away from the ports. He had a “bounce target” of $66. To get the stock really, really cheaply, you want it to get down to 2X Book which is $53-$54. He would be afraid of another 10% drop in the market. If it did, this would then be beautifully cheap.