Whitecap Resources (WCP.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

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Whitecap Resources (WCP.TO)

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15.54

+0.18 (1.17%)

as of Jun 19, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.

488 watching

TOP PICK

They recently made an acquisition. The ability to transact is important and the stock has done well. They will continue to be active in mergers and acquisitions. A 20-30% cashflow yield. (Analysts’ price target is $3.55)

DON'T BUY

Gas is doing better than oil. The gas price has helped propel gas companies from the bottom. He would prefer CNQ or other high quality companies.

TOP PICK

Trading at a 25% free cashflow yield. They can increase their dividend next year. He expects it to be a consolidator to add more inventory depth. He sees up to 50% upside if oil prices rise. (Analysts’ price target is $3.25)

HOLD

It is probably one of the better managed exploration and production companies in Canada. It is a little bit higher risk/reward than some of the others. This is one of the companies he would look at in this group. It will recover or could be acquired or merged with.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

He really likes this and he bought it in the March bottom. They won't spend much in Q2 or Q3. Volumes could decline in coming quarters. They're paying down debt, yet still paying a dividend. Debt is declining. Definitely buy on weakness, below $1.60. This could consolidate weaker companies. Fine managers who also own a lot of shares.

HOLD

This is a top name holding for him. Once the banks decide on subsidies for some of the companies, there should be some uncertainty that comes out of the share price. They are trading at an attractive level. At $50 or higher oil, the balance sheet is strong and their production decline rate is falling. They are capturing CO2 to work towards becoming net zero emitting.

BUY

He owns this one. It is up 16% today on a lack of sellers. They cut the dividend to a yield that is still 7-8%. Volumes will likely drop off in Q2, but are expected to spend more in Q4, depending on how the market reacts. The balance sheet is in good shape with $1.2 billion in debt. His rating is "A".

BUY

A high quality way to play a bullish oil play. Q2 earnings are going to be bad, but it depends on what the balance of the year and 2021 holds. They have a modest decline rate, which reduces the capex required. He thinks the dividend is sustainable around $35 oil prices. He was buying it yesterday. Yield 9.5%

SELL

He would consider selling it as it is not profitable at current oil prices. It is not as heavily indebted as others but owning a non-integrated is a wing and a prayer on a bail out by the Alberta government.

TOP PICK

It's his oil play. It's trading at half its cash flow. They announced a spending cut and halved their dividend recently. They are paying down debt, but still serving that dividend. He's been adding to his position recently. This will definitely survive.

HOLD

Dividend safe? He thinks the dividend is safe as long as oil prices are above $40. He does not own this one. Their problem is how do they attract the capital to make them grow? He could see a scenario where US shale production is capped and money returns back to Canada for investment by international investors.

COMMENT

TOG vs ARX vs WCP? He favours TOG and WCP over ARX presently. TOG has a 7.7% yield and trades only at 6% above the blow down value of their existing wells and has a strong balance sheet.

BUY

He owns this one. The company has 84% liquids and producing over 68,000 boed. He has a target price of over $7.00. A very attractive buy. Yield 6.8%

TOP PICK

A high quality mid to small-large energy producer. Trades below book value and at 9 times cash flow. A reasonable pick in the energy space. Yield 6.51% (Analysts’ price target is $6.97)

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Oil Oil is tricky. It's a broken market that may or may not be coming back. Some have returned to gold too early. Over the decades, oil has risen and fallen largely due to spin (i.e. Peak Oil). He picks up a little oil when the stocks get cheap. Oil is a messy space. Of the juniors, WCP is his favourite. SU-T is the senior one he likes. But he really likes Advantage (but they deal in natural gas, not oil).

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