
TSE:ZID
An ETF on Indian equities, hopefully with a better yield? There is the ZID. There are versions in the US you can buy, but this one is in Cdn$. He loves India long-term. You are not hedged to the currency on this. You are exposed to the fluctuations of the Indian rupee and US$, because there is some US$ imbedded exposure in that.
Which India ETF would you prefer for the long-term? This one from the Bank of Montréal is good. They’re relatively homogenous. What you get when you start getting a country specific ETF in Canada, is generally something that tracks a broad benchmark and there is not a lot to choose between them. If you have a US one, you get additional tax reporting problems and there is currency hedging. If you buy something in US$ and then the Cdn$ appreciates, you are going to get the return of the underlying benchmark, but you are going to have to give some of that back when you convert the currency.
There is a lot of hopefulness about what Mohdi is going to be able to do in India. He doesn’t know that this has translated as yet into good returns, or how long it is going to take. They have clearly had a problem of being the non-aligned country for a long time. Bureaucracy is a huge problem, and the country has all kinds of problems. On the other hand, as a growth story it could be terrific. This is a tough one to pick.
When you get down to the country ETF’s, they are a little bit different certainly than the industry ETF’s. A lot of it comes down to familiarity, i.e. if you know India, spent time there or come from an Indian background. 10 stocks represent 90% of this index. If you want to go into something like this, just look at the top 10 stocks. If you know them and are comfortable with them that’s great. Otherwise he would be careful.
Right now emerging markets are probably not on the favourite list of many strategists and portfolio managers. However, he would put India at the top of that list comparing it against China, Brazil, Russia, etc. Keep in mind that this is a net importer of commodities. Lower commodity prices are beneficial to them. He likes that they have very positive political leadership on how it is helping the financial side of things. Demographics look good. If you do want exposure to emerging markets, India is a pretty strong name to hold.
Thematically, India has 1.3 billion people, world's largest democracy. 65% of those people are under 35, so they have 800 million of people of consumption driven growth. 7.5% GDP. Business friendly reforms. Infrastructure projects in an under penetrated market. Analysts assume the Indian stock market can grow earnings at 22%.