Market Commentary — Page 212

Market Commentary

COMMENT

Gold. Downgraded assessment the outlook for gold. Should be rallying more than it should be. It should be trading at 2200-2400 range. Digital assets are taking away money from the traditional inflation hedge from gold.

COMMENT

Tech stock allocation in portfolio. Tech accounts for 21% in the global index. Tech will drive productivity and growth decades into the future. How you construct that will be different for everybody. A handful of large stocks accounts for a third of the S&P. They are huge influencers. For TSX, it is 11.6% tech. Shopify accounts for 7.2%. In Canada, we do not have a diverse sector. Must look globaly for tech stocks. Right now, it is expensive and at risk to rising interest rates. Could see underperformance in large cap tech.

COMMENT

Educational Segment. President Biden's approval rating has dropped significantly after the withdrawal from Afghanistan. There are implications on policy but also on the markets. It will be harder and harder to get his agenda passed. Fed's are talking about tapering and markets are starting to see weakness. The VIX curve has flattened. Fewer and fewer stocks are participating in the trend. Although the Nasdaq is at all time highs, more stocks are trading at 52-week lows. Market bredth is breaking down.

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Market. It feels like the last two months had little damage compared to the average. The big five fang tech stocks have held up the average. In Canada it was the banks. There has been a lot more damage below the surface. The Russell 2000 was down 10% from the peak on Friday and here it was the energy sector that took the hit. That is where we will see the opportunities. The number of stocks participating is declining. Demand is not slowing down, but there are supply-driven issues. He thinks we are positioned for a pretty long cycle. Find your valuation point and hold them.

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Regulation to require a third of a corporate board to be workers. It is interesting. Europe is doing it in some countries. The Conservatives are considering it. He thinks getting employees more involved in the management of the company is beneficial.

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Where to put RESP Money. 40% in tech: big cap, QQQ, SMH ETF. Financials: Canadian bank stocks. Go into growth sectors. Communications services and telecoms.

COMMENT

Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. With investors thinking of Feds talking about tapering, higher rates would see weakness in utilities, real estate, communications and tech. Dividend stocks could also decline with more alternatives. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

COMMENT

Market outlook. Markets haven't had a correction in a while and seasonality suggests weaker performance. Markets are getting close to targets and risk-reward, there is some upward movement but at some point, there will be a correction. It probably will not be a major correction, around 5-6%. A good time to make sure positions are appropriate and have some cash ready to be deployed.

COMMENT

Right now, markets are moving between growth and value depending on inflation. Must be more nimble on individual names or using ETFs. These are strategies that work and you must be ready to pivot. Policy mistakes could have consequences in the market too.

COMMENT

He likes U.S. banks, but more so the European banks. Yes, the Euro banks had a good run so far this year, but they have even more room in the second half of 2021.

COMMENT

The USD is at 9-month highs and there are fears of a housing bubble in China. The news in China is a big deal; she's been short China where the GDP has been decelerating and is effecting the US dollar, which in turn effects China's deflation. Material prices have come off hard this week, because of China's deceleration. Until China accelerates growth, EM won't pop up. Rather, she's a big buyer of Europe, though.

COMMENT

Is the USD still a safe haven? It's trading because of China's deflation. The USD could continue to strengthen; it's at the top of her trading range. There could be a bounce and you could short the dollar. Go long India, short China and short a broad EM index, because China is a large part of those indices, yet avoids the risks of China like headline risk.

COMMENT

The USD is at 9-month highs and there are fears of a housing bubble in China. If the USD keeps getting stronger for 3 weeks-3 months, it won't be good for the world economy or emerging markets. The USD is the new VIX. Don't buy foreign stocks at all. He's surprised that risk assets aren't pricing in the popping of China's housing bubble--and they should.

COMMENT

Emerging markets pick India by far would be his top choice in emerging markets or Asia, driven by fintech and digital technology.

COMMENT

Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. It is tough to protect from a deflationary environment. Cash would be the best option there. For an inflationary downturn, consumer staples would be a good sector. Tech companies could due well over time from higher margins and lower cost outside of labour. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

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A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert (A Commentary)

Gold.(A Commentary)

Tech stock allocation in portfolio.(A Commentary)

Educational Segment. (A Commentary)

Market. (A Commentary)

Regulation to require a third of a corporate board to be workers. (A Commentary)

Where to put RESP Money. (A Commentary)

Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research.(A Commentary)

Market outlook.(A Commentary)

A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert(A Commentary)

A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert(A Commentary)

The USD is at 9-month highs and there are fears of a housing bubble in China.(A Commentary)

Is the USD still a safe haven?(A Commentary)

The USD is at 9-month highs and there are fears of a housing bubble in China.(A Commentary)

Emerging markets pick(A Commentary)

Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research.(A Commentary)

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