Stockchase Opinions

Michael Lee-ChinCI Financial CorpCIX.TOTOP PICKMar 01, 2001

A takeover candidate.
$14.25

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$31.99

As of Aug 14, 2025. Market Open.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 13/23, Down 10.2%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with CIX has triggered its stop at $13.50.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time.  This will result in a net investment loss of 12%, when combined with our previous recommendations.  

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 13/23, Up 12%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with CIX is progressing well.  To remain disciplined, we recommend trailing up the stop (from $12.00) to $13.50 at this time.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

We reiterate this wealth manager of $395 billion of assets as a TOP PICK.  I has closed on the 20% divestment of its US wealth business, which as allowed it repurchase over $700 million of its debentures.  It trades at 1.6x book and 6x earnings.  It pays a good dividend with a payout ratio of 1/3 of its cash flow.  We continue to recommend a stop at $12, looking to achieve $18 -- upside potential of 18%.  Yield 4.9% 

(Analysts’ price target is $18.94)
Unspecified

It took on lots of debt at low interest rates which has given it some balance sheet trouble. It has sold some holdings. There isn't growth but debt is OK now. It is exceptionally cheap at 3.9X 2024 earnings. Pays a dividend of 5.6%. He bought some last week.

COMMENT

It used to be a great stock and the earnings ratio of 20X has dropped to 5X. It pays a 5% dividend and is buying back stock. The IPO of the U.S. business part is possible. It sold off part of its business to private equity via preferred shares which have a 14% guaranteed annual minimum return.. This could cause losses to common shareholders. He would prefer IGM.

BUY

Company selling off USA business rewarded by market.
Strong fundamentals. 
Likes long term prospects for company. 
Good time to buy shares.

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TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

CIX just announced a $1.3b sale for 20% of its US wealth management business.  This will allow the company to reduce debt and move into new directions.  Latest quarterly earnings showed the company building cash reserves, while buying back shares and reducing debt.  It trades at 6x earnings and 1.4x book value.  It pays a good dividend, backed by a payout ratio under 35% of cash flow.  We recommend a stop-loss at $12.00, looking to achieve $19.50 -- upside potential of 18%.  Yield 4.5%   

(Analysts’ price target is $19.38)
TRADE

Last quarter was in line, solid improvement in net flows. Fabulous job building out asset management platform. Moved down sharply with the group. Nice dividend of 6%, safe. Ridiculously cheap at 4.8x 2024 estimated earnings. 

Doesn't love the business. Sometimes names get too cheap not to buy. Beta play on improving markets. Not a 10-year hold.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 26/22, Down 25%)

Diversified away from core mutual fund base, which has no growth. Started piling on debt to buy Registered Investment Advisors in the US, which they haven't been able to roll out. Timing was bad. Insiders continue to buy aggressively. Cheap valuation. 

BUY ON WEAKNESS

As a general rule, the financials will be a net beneficiary of inflation. It's been dropping--and its drops during its divestiture, so this is worth looking at now.

HOLD
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research.

CIX’s fundamental metrics – its Asset under Management (AUM) has been quite resilient amid a challenging macro environment, with growth mainly coming from US wealth management, which management indicates is the key growth lever for the company in the future. In addition, the company has a track record of repurchasing shares aggressively in recent years, which indicates management believes shares are undervalued.

Like other names in the Financial sector, CIX has been under pressure recently due to the fear of contagion risks in the financial systems, as well as weak capital markets. Although there is a contagious sentiment risk, we think this risk is low in probability as the Fed and other countries’ central banks publicly announced their intention to stabilize the Financial system. CIXs is not impacted by deposits, but margins are trending down and business remains competitive. But the stock is priced right, and it has managed a challenging environment well enough and made good acquisitions over time. Overall, we think CIX is a hold.
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BUY

Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research.

Strategy of US expansion is risky, but we prefer it to staying in Canada. 
CEO is young, but we think the Board knows its strategy well. 
Recent acquisition may not work out, but we would rather the company try to move forward than simply bleed out with lower fees and massive competition in Canada.  
Well run company overall. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

HOLD
Positive or negative leverage based on how stock market does. Buying wealth managers, especially in US. Not sure if it's working out to make bets on wealth managers as the market plummets. Long term, should work out. He owns BLK instead, an ETF provider.
BUY
You're fine as an income investor, though the stock has disappointed in the past year. They added a lot of debt to buy some businesses, but they are also buying a lot of their own shares, a good sign. They remain a great operator in Canada. They generate a lot of free cash flow. He's not worried about the 5% dividend. Shares are cheap.
DON'T BUY
Owns mutual funds etc. It has spent a lot of money on acquisitions and needs to execute on them. It will be a different environment over the next six months. There are better companies out there which are more diversified.