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Canadian Natural RsrcsCNQ.TOTOP PICKFeb 02, 2023Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 19, 2026. Market Open.
Oil is the safest of all the resource categories. Here are 2 names that will let you sleep at night.
Big fan of CNQ: best in class in execution, quality assets, aristocrat in dividend growth.
TOU doesn't give the upfront, regular dividend, but has been generous with special dividends. Capable of delivering in high single-digit range in terms of total yield.
The caller asked about his preference between Tourmaline and CNQ. Both are the highest quality oil and gas companies in Canada. Tourmaline is superbly run but is natural gas weighted and moves around a lot along with the price of natural gas. CNQ is more diversified and therefore its stock price is steadier.
High quality, good operations in oil and gas, mostly in western Canada. High returns. Energy is very defensive now, but is also cyclical, so results can be volatile. Expects oil prices to remain high for a while. Are generating lots of free cash, so could raise the dividend past 4.3%, buyback shares and buy companies. But shares are at all-time highs. Take profits and buy on dips.
Excellent company that has sold shares in due to strength in price. Better names in sector for capital appreciation. Good for dividend investors. Currently trading at 6x cash flow. Expecting debt target to be met in the next few weeks. 100% of free cash flow will be returned to shareholders of 2024. Very strong management team.
At $80 WTI, CNQ is generating massive cash flow. In 2022 funds were up 66% and cash reserves are the highest level in at least 5 years and that is after paying down debt aggressively. This will be a play on forward global oil prices, but oil prices don't need to go higher to see a good return on this investment. It trades at 2.2x book and less than 5x cash flow and it supports a 32% ROE. Plus it pays a good dividend, backed by a payout ratio under 30% of cash flow. We recommend placing a stop-loss at $58, looking to achieve $92 -- upside potential of 17%. Yield 4.3%
(Analysts’ price target is $92.00)