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TSE:CPG

Crescent Point Energy Corp (CPG.TO)

11.72
-0.04 (0.34%)
as of May 14, 2024, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
802 watching
0
TOP PICK

Overhang was always inventory depth, but they've been acquiring. Now they have 15+ years of Tier-1 quality inventory. At 25%, second-highest free cashflow yield of companies he follows. Yield is 3.69%.

(Analysts’ price target is $13.90)
BUY

Solid execution last quarter. Cashflows beat by 4%. Lower valuation of 3.0x than peers at 3.9x. More indebted balance sheet, but it doesn't matter with oil prices where they are. Pretty nice production and EPS growth. Energy is under owned, and oil price is being manipulated higher, so this one can do well.

HOLD

Quality company. Right-sized the ship, doing the right things. His view on natural gas and oil is positive. Transition to renewables will take longer than expected. Nat gas is volatile, but companies are focused on debt repayment rather than drilling at all costs, so they can weather those storms.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

We reiterate CPG, with producing assets in Western Canada and the Bakken, as a TOP PICK.  The company has pledged 50% of excess cash flow to be returned to shareholders.  It has been able to do this while aggressively retiring debt and buying back shares and it currently trades at under book value.  We continue to recommend a stop-loss at $8, looking to achieve $13 -- upside potential of 33%.  Yield 3.5%  

(Analysts’ price target is $13.69)
TOP PICK

Very inexpensive on a fundamental basis. 
Paying down debt, re-structuring assets.
Returning cash to shareholders.
Trading at 3x operating cash flow @ current strip price.
Believes oil prices heading higher.
Financial markets weighing on price of oil - but will pass. 
Cheap valuation + dividends will slowly provide value over the years.

BUY

Have good shareholder returns around 11% and cheap compared to peers, 4.4x vs. 3.3x and boasts production growth at 16%, with some cah flow. They're paying you to wait with their dividend. Longer term this is a go-to Canadian oil name.

BUY ON WEAKNESS
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research.

CPG is not our favourite, but is certainly cheap and offers a good dividend and growth potential. The balance sheet is in much stronger shape than prior cycles, and it is one of the few in the sector expected to grow this year (with acquisitions offsetting lower pricing). Special dividends (small) will likely continue. We think it would be fine to own.
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

We reiterate this Calgary based energy producer as a TOP PICK.  Receding forest fires have allowed 45,000 bpd of its Duvernay production to come back online.  It trades under book value and 10x earnings.  Cash reserves are growing, while debt is retired and shares bought back.  It pays a good dividend, backed by a payout ratio under 40% of cash flow.  We continue to recommend a stop at $8, looking to achieve $13 -- upside potential over 30%.  Yield 3.4%

(Analysts’ price target is $13.77)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 13/22, Down 23%)

Powerful balance sheet, good dividend yield. Huge upside potential based on FMV. Cheap on price to book. He's sorry for the timing of the recommendation, but sees no reason to sell outside of a year of ennui from trading sideways.

BUY

Cheap valuation, high free cashflow, aggressively buying back stock. Downside is inventory depth, but recent acquisition and drilling have rectified this. Can see the allure of this name much more than 3-4 months ago.

TOP PICK

This will do well even if WTI oil is at $70. Don't need $80 or $90. Boasts 3-4x operating cash flow and a 15% free cash flow yield. The sector is cheap. Oil prices can go grow higher. CPG stopped growing for the sake of growing, but in recent years has been paying down debt and buying back shares. Did a major acquisition and consolidating their most productive assets.

(Analysts’ price target is $13.57)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 26/22, Up 22%)

Good job concentrating their portfolio. Acquisition looks to the future. More profitable to do acquisitions than to drill.

PARTIAL BUY

Is now hitting resistance at $10. Its range is $9-10. You can enter, but make it a partial position, considering yesterday's OPEC's oil cuts and Russia. pays a nice dividend.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 23/23, Up 8.6%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with CPG is progressing well.  We now recommend trailing up the stop (from $7) to $8 at this time.  

BUY

Concern that company is inventory light.
Duvernay asset better than people believe. 
Tier 2 economics present a good investment case.
~13 years of inventory on Duvernay assets.
Pledging 50% of free cash flow returning to shareholders next year.
Good long term investment.

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