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TSE:GWO

Great West Lifeco (GWO.TO)

88.18
-1.52 (1.69%)
as of Jun 19, 2026, 8:00:01 pm Market Open.
237 watching
0
WAIT

GWO vs MFC vs SLF? In general, he thinks all insurance companies are safe here. They don't have the threat of rising loan losses, like the banks do. They trade cheaper than the banks. Capital ratios are solid. They are finding ways to deal with low interest rates. GWO has a good job. MFC is very cheap, compared to its peers. SLF has been the steady eddy of the group. He likes them all. He would buy now, but you might be able to purchase them cheaper in the next couple of months.

DON'T BUY
Very cheap? This is not the right environment for insurance companies. You have to think if interest rates are going to remain low going forward, it will be difficult for them to make consistent profits. He would look elsewhere. He would rather play in US markets with US dollars instead. Yield 8%
BUY
Likes it a lot and recommended it a few weeks ago as yields have been bottoming and flattening out. Yields will rise long-term, he predict, which will benefit lifecos like this. GWO broke its downtrend at end-2018, rose, hit a second bottom (a double-bottom) and is now accelerating higher.
BUY
The Canadian insurance sector generally trades cheap, and the balance sheets look great. Insurance companies are cheaper and are capitalized cheaper than banks. GWO would be a fine name if there is no recession. Even with a recession, you have 5% dividends to weather the storm.
DON'T BUY
There is value in it at $10 to $15 dollars. Insurance companies in a negative interest rate environment are tragic. This sector is a 'Hard Avoid' until the dust settles.
DON'T BUY
If you look at '07/08 you will get something similar in the next recession. With low interest rates they will not do well. This one has not grown for years nor made money for anyone.
COMMENT
General opinion of the sector The insurance group had run up earlier in the year as longer term interest rates were expected to rise. However, as short term rates have risen faster this has taken the wind out of the sails. There is still more upside in rates and with yields of 5%, it is a good long term holding. The MFC-T lawsuit over long term contracts will create uncertainty.
TOP PICK
As rates rise, lifecos do well. GWL is now a value pick with low volatility. He likes its middling price momentum and solid 21% ROE. 1.4x price to book (vs. historic 2x), and trades at 7x earnings. Pays 5% yield and deecnt payout ratio. But they need to show they can redeploy capital into growth--they got the balance sheet to do that. (Analysts’ price target is $34.50)
COMMENT

All lifecos have underperformed. GWL has great assets in Canada, but Putnam Investments in the U.S. has been a drag on them. That said, lifecos are steady and will benefit from rising interest rates. She prefers others in this space.

WAIT

He owns Prudential instead. Should be a terrific time to own an insurer, but it’s not. Flattening yield curve is hurting them. Would wait to see movement in the long rates before buying. US should kick rates higher, which should help. Own the banks, which automatically benefit from growth.

DON'T BUY

He likes the lifecos now, because interest rates are rising. He owns other insurers instead. They've had problems after buying Puttnam Investments; maybe that's turning around now. It's always looked expensive against its peers, yet he doesn't see the same level of growth.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

A sideways pattern where you buy around $32 and sell near $37.

DON'T BUY

You expect all lifecos to do well on a rising interest rate environment. It is surprising that we haven’t had the big trade on the lifecos. He will gravitate toward banks more than lifecos now. He feels uncomfortable with the group at the moment.

BUY

At these levels he is predisposed towards lifecos. They underperformed the market, but things are setting up better for them with rising interest rates. He prefers Manulife Financial Corporation (MFC-T) but both are good long-term investments.

WEAK BUY

This is a good space. High dividends. Growth. Positive demographics. Doesn't know GWF as well as Sunlife or Manulife, but should get moderate to strong returns.

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