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Hudbay MineralsHBM.TOCOMMENTJan 24, 2018Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 19, 2026. Market Open.
Prefers TECK.B. He's attracted to copper in the longer term. In the very near term, the commodity will be weighted by overall economic conditions. TECK.B is more a restructuring play than a copper play right now; well run, wide range of assets; world-class coal assets are undervalued; cashflow is more stable.
Cheap, with good upside potential. About 30% discount to book value. With EVs and the demand for alternate forms of power, electricity comes into its own. You need to have a way of moving it around, and that's copper. The copper market is a mess, with demand picking up and supply under pressure. Yield is 0.32%.
(Analysts’ price target is $10.22)Acquiring Copper Mountain, which has a very different risk profile and more leverage. HBM's future is predicated on previous acquisition in Arizona that's been mired in bureaucracy. He's always concerned when development NAV is a high percentage of overall value. Risk of execution becomes more acute. He prefers TECK.B or FM, which are at the stage of reaping rewards of free cashflow.
All copper and base metal stocks have had a huge move up in the last 6 weeks. A lot of that probably had to do with the US$ selling off. Also, there are more articles and rumblings about India being in the next area of growth. As we see big projects take shape, activity begins to happen, and base metals are consumed. This is a company that falls right into that category.