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TSE:HWX

Headwater Exploration Inc. (HWX.TO)

12.26
+0.17 (1.41%)
as of Jun 19, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
6 watching
0
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 26/23, Up 27%)

High growth, about 40% production growth in 2023. Great ROC potential. Very well run. CEO change by year's end. Lots of running room. Good scalability. Expects a takeover in 12-18 months. Yields around 5%.

BUY

Excellent company with best oil play in North America.
Very strong management team.
New "Fish bone" drilling technique could be very profitable.
Expecting 50% upside given current oil price.
Owns shares in company. 

HOLD

Trades at a premium. Proven management team. Exposure to Clearwater, the most economic play in NA. Amenable to multi-lateral drilling, and there's upside embedded in that. He sold some, but still meaningful upside. Yield is 5.8%, lots of room to increase.

TOP PICK

Purest Clearwater play, the most economic play in Canada. Purest CWS exposure, and he's bullish on the differential. Recent good exploration drilling. Trades at a modest premium. Yield is 6.48%, which could potentially increase by 50% this fall.

(Analysts’ price target is $8.81)
BUY

CEO has a great reputation. Stock's not moved too much. Nice position in Clearwater, one of the best plays in Western Canada. Moving to a dividend strategy, which will increase investor interest. Assuming oil prices hold in, dividend should be well covered with cashflow and they should be able to grow production a bit. 

Too small for him, but great choice of a smaller name that has torque.

TOP PICK

His theme today is leverage, nice yield, and ability to grow cash. Growing 40% production this year, 25% next year. $100M of cash, which could grow to being 20-25% of market cap. Clean balance sheet. Can tuck in land acquisitions to build inventory. In one of the hottest plays in Canada. Very strong free cashflow. Yield is 6.39%, which could grow easily to 8-9%.

(Analysts’ price target is $9.11)
BUY

Currently in a net cash position. 
Owns 9.9% of company.
Large producer in Clearwater (most economic play in North America).
Remarkable exploration results recently.
Very good CEO with Neil Roszell.
More inventory that market thinks.
Currently yielding ~5.5% dividend. 

WEAK BUY

Instead, he has a significant position in SU. Energy prices will continue strong for a protracted time. Not widely followed. If an investor knows this company really well, go ahead, as the energy sector will continue to do well.

(Analysts’ price target is $9.28)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 28/22, Down 6%) Pure player in the Clearwater oil play. Exploration wells not panning out. Perception that company is inventory light. Public data suggestion new wells could be better. Will continue owning shares in the company. ~5% dividend yield helping shareholders.
BUY
Largest shareholder of company. Pure play Clearwater player. Wells paying out in 2 months. Don't have to frac wells. Recent market selloff due to recent dry well results. Perception that inventory is light not well founded. Trading a 3.1x cashflow (average valuation). Expecting a $11 share price.
Unspecified
He is the largest shareholder. It doesn't have to frac the wells. Has very good exploration running room. Has16% free cash flow and is sitting on cash. Should pay a dividend soon.
BUY
Large shareholder of company. Existing asset base will provide large amounts of dividends going forward. Waiting for exploration program to end. Excellent company that is well managed.
BUY
Largest shareholder of company (owns ~22 million shares). Excellent management team that created large amounts of value in previous companies. Excellent assets with most economic oil play in North America (Clearwater). Paying 2.7x cash flow at current share price. Looking at a 6x multiple of share price.
PARTIAL BUY
More exposed to liquid side. Could be a bit more downside. Always a discount from the spot price for Canadian companies. If you're looking for a smaller-cap company, a good time to pick away at a good name like this.
WEAK BUY
Strong management. Aggressive growth. How much excess capital can they return to shareholders as well as deleverage? Focus is on building up the asset base, going from 11K to 22K barrels a day by 2024. Good free cashflow, but much of it's probably earmarked for buying land and M&A.
Showing 1 to 15 of 23 entries

Headwater Exploration Inc. (HWX.TO) Frequently Asked Questions

What is Headwater Exploration Inc. stock symbol?

Headwater Exploration Inc. is a Canadian stock, trading under the symbol HWX.TO (previously HWX-T on Stockchase) on the Toronto Stock Exchange (HWX-CT). It is usually referred to as TSX:HWX or HWX.TO

Is Headwater Exploration Inc. a buy or a sell?

In the last year, no analyst issued a Buy, Sell, or Hold rating on HWX.TO (previously HWX-T on Stockchase) on Stockchase. Read the latest expert commentary for Headwater Exploration Inc. .

Is Headwater Exploration Inc. a good investment or a top pick?

Headwater Exploration Inc. was recommended as a Top Pick by Dennis da Silva on 2022-07-13. Read the latest stock experts ratings for Headwater Exploration Inc. .

Why is Headwater Exploration Inc. stock dropping?

Earnings reports or recent company news can cause the stock price to drop. Read stock experts' recommendations for Headwater Exploration Inc. .

Is Headwater Exploration Inc. worth watching?

Headwater Exploration Inc. is followed by 6 investors on Stockchase and is a trending stock that is worth watching.

What is Headwater Exploration Inc. stock price?

On 2026-06-19, Headwater Exploration Inc. (HWX.TO) stock closed at a price of $12.26.