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NASDAQ:NFLX
Netflix Inc. (NFLX)
77.32
-0.07 (0.08%)
as of Jun 18, 2026, 11:56:21 pm Market Open.
274 watching
Financials 
Technical Analysis 0
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Premium contentTOP PICK
HOLD
At $185 heading into earnings next week, he doesn't expect a great quarter or good news about new subscribers. Has 221 million paying subscribers. A very weak number would be adding 1 million subs in the quarter. Let's say less than half of those are ad-supported customers. (Ads don't exist yet, but he expects it by year's end.) But 400,000 ad-paying subs would be meaningful. There's a huge market for Netflix to reach quarter after quarter. Re: the new Microsoft partnership: The market is puzzled, but MSFT is a neutral, non-combative tech company that other tech companies like to partner with. MSFT has what it takes to build this ad-supported platform. A lot of the risk has already come out of NFLX, so he's sticking with it.
Technology
SELL
In recent weeks, he has sold 80% of his Netflix shares. He finally got back to above water from a horrible purchase at $219 from collecting a lot of premiums, call sales against it. Freevee on Amazon US is category-killer. Netflix is not ready to get there as quickly as they need. Also, they need a sales force to execute the ad-supported business model. He doubts they are ready. He prefers to shift his money into Amazon, which he was buying yesterday at $102-103.
Technology
COMMENT
Netflix was downgraded to a sell and $186 price target today by BOA and he agrees with it, unfortunately. Streaming is very competitive and the consumer around the world is watching their money. He misjudged the macro, which will effect how people will spend their money. He's not selling though he's under water. Can Netflix compete during this consumer "recession"--will consumers spend on Netflix, the more expensive streaming service?
Pete NajarianOwned
Technology
BUY
Allan Tong’s Discover Picks The world’s number-one streamer released its latest quarter on April 19 and it landed like a bomb. Shares tanked 25% the following day. IT came down to subscribers: a net loss of 200,000 in Q1 and a forecast of losing two millions subs in Q2. It was the first decline in subs since October 2011 and surprised the market. In fact, the company had projected an additional 2.5 million net subs in Q1. Netflix blamed rising competition, password sharing and the Russian war, though the street widely believes that the end of lockdowns is another big factor. Read Are tech stocks alive? for our full analysis.
Stockchase DiscoverOwned
Technology
DON'T BUY
Grew rapidly through Covid, as streaming became so important. Streaming is here to stay. Spends a lot of money building content, when the others don't have to. Competition has ramped up. Model for advertising is not attractive. Choose others in better financial shape and with more strings to their bows.
Technology
COMMENT
She's always net long, including many FAANGs, so the market now is painful. But the pendulum swing is accelerating. Netflix's PE has fallen to 15x. That is amazing, though there is room to fall further. The IGV has more room to decline, too. She's rather be long the FAANGs and short IGV. She would love to buy Lulu, down $150, though still not cheap because its PE is around 30x and she wants to see 20-25x. She's not selling. She wants to see the VIX shoot up, though it was high today. We could see a turnaround tomorrow.
Technology
DON'T BUY
He can see the temptation in buying it after the sell-off. But no. There's so much competition in streamers, and Netflix must continue spending. NFLX is not cheap in terms of cash flow and valuation, though the stock is overdue for a bounce. He prefers Disney and Paramount which trade at better valuations.
Technology
DON'T BUY
A debacle after last night's report, the second bad one in a row. Shares tanked over 35% today. Subscriber numbers are down and the sub forecast is dire. A no-growth company that doesn't make money, absolutely not what the markets wants these days. The market wants stocks that make tangible things, that makes money and returns that wealth to shareholders, trading at reasonable valuations.
Technology
BUY
It took its estimates way down when they reported at year's end, so shares plunged 50% and the PE was cut in half, but the PE is in line with the market. Expect this month's earnings season from the FAAANGs to issue caution. Expect growth from around 9-20% at a market multiple. These stocks are recession-proof, meaning they might grow a little less in a recession, but cyclicals will not grow at all. Also, cyclicals are trading at a higher PE now, and many industrials have had huge runs this year. In contrast, you can buy Apple, Alphabet or Netflix at a resonable PE. These companies have has sales larger than entire countries, and boast sales that are growing.
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