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Nutrien Ltd.NTR.TOWAITMay 18, 2023Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 19, 2026. Market Open.
Technically, good time to buy. No justice in this business, so just because it's oversold doesn't mean you're going to get rewarded. Around $60 is good risk/reward. Nice dividend. He's looking at it.
Fundamentals will improve over time. Like putting mail bags out for the train back in the day, you didn't know when the train would come, just that at some point it would.
NTR is one of the larger Canadian stocks in Canada, at a $34B market cap. It pays a 3.1% yield, trades at a cheap valuation of 10.6X, however, its forward earnings and sales estimates are fairly muted. Fertilizer prices have been coming down, and this has put pressure on the stock. We expect potash prices to stabilize in the coming year or more, and with NTR's strong free cash flow generation and good management team and balance sheet, it can benefit from a stabilization or even potential increase in potash prices.
Over a long period of time, we would be comfortable buying and holding NTR at these levels given its industry-leading position in the space. We believe some patience will be required, though.
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Owns shares in company and likes future prospects. Good value style company wit diversified assets (Potash, retail etc.) Well rounded business with strong management. Conflict in Ukraine and Middle East creating demand for grain products. Expanding population will also increase demand. Expecting further earnings growth. Recent fall of share price presenting a good buying opportunity. Massive moat around business.
Value or value trap? All the buzz when Ukraine was invaded and food supplies were of concern. Situation righted itself, and stock's come down. Tax-loss selling in December brought it to attractive levels. Not great growth rate, only 3%. Not the cheapest at 14.8x 2024. Likes it. Buy here, it will work eventually over the next few years.
The most cyclical stock he owns. Crop prices have been all over the place. Harvest has been spotty. Tailwinds include continued geopolitical conflict between Russia-Ukraine, cheaper nat gas in NA. Demand will eventually return. Add at a reasonable price, sit and wait, and be patient.
Apples and oranges comparison, fertilizer vs. natural gas. All NTR's commodities have rolled over, earnings disappointed, he sold. NTR is a good company, valuation not good, not the time to own.
Likes and owns TOU. Gushing cashflow. Special dividends on top of regular ones. Dividend increase. Biggest and best nat gas producer in Canada. Commodity producers are slaves to the one thing they can't control, but TOU breaks the mold based on strategic contracts. Inexpensive 9x earnings, financially very strong. He's a buyer here.