NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA)

The momentum and revenue growth still looks strong. However after next year look at the environment for semi-conductors. AMD and Intel may get into the AI market and three of Nvidia's customers could start making their own AI chips. There is also a semi-conductor boom going on in China. Lots of possible competition could lead to a glut of semi-conductors in 2 or 3 years. It also specializes in making software. Nvidia has lost 50% of its value twice in the past 6 years and this could happen again.

The question was on what is a a good strategy to follow when considering buying a stock like this that has gone up a lot and you have missed the run-up. He feels that it doesn't matter what the percentage increase is when deciding whether to buy a stock. The question is whether it is going to correct now. You use technical analysis to decide whether a stock goes up, goes down, or stays the same. We are in a two week wiggle time period with stocks due to tax loss selling and there is no rush to buy anything now. You could look for 10 to12% downturn from here.

Would recommend buying stock, but difficult to predict valuation of business. Thinks there is froth in the stock right now with very high valuation. Expecting growth going forward. Demand for chips not going away. If able to hold for long period, would be a good buy. If a short term investor, would not buy at this time. 

It's become a core holding for investors, and you may take some profits in January, but hold onto it for the long term. Keep this as a core holding for the next several years.

It's a cheap stock, trading at 24x PE 2024, a growth rate of 15% and PEG ratio of 0.5. A beautiful balance sheet and they're not capital intensive, and they literally can't make enough product to satisfy demand.

They reported yesterday and expectations were great, but the report was not great. Hence, shares are weak today. It trades at 14x 2024 sales, which few companies can achieve. Tesla was one, and when they reached that, they had a 70% drawdown.

It's in a league of its own, but there was a big concern where the semis would have excess inventories. It comes down to execution in the face of lower demand and a slower economy. Going into 2024, look at what Nvidia will align with, such as data centres, the number of which will likely decline. The semis space won't see a rising tide lifting all boats, despite a secular tailwind.

They report after the bell and the market is watching this closely. They gave eye-popping guidance 90 days ago, calling for $16 billion in revenue. The street consensus is validating that.

The leading chipmaker with 75% of revenue from data centres, and an essential partner in cloud infrastructure. A strong AI play.

It has been in the sweet spot with its chips products for the cloud business. The U.S. is supporting the production of chips within its borders. Buy even if there is a miss on the next quarter.

If you've owned this this year, when it's had a monster move up, it makes total sense to pare back your holding as we close this year.

It's moved up nearly $100 since Oct. 31. It held $400 and has terrific momentum, but the risk is to the upside. They remain the heavyweight champions of AI GPUs. 

NVDA is pricier, but higher growth prospects. 33x forward PE, 17x forward price to sales. 57% long-term growth forecast, very strong. 
META is 20x forward PE, 5.9x forward price to sales. Cheaper than NVDA, but growth rate only 24%, which is still great. Bit more of a "value" play.

Both screen well, but NVDA is a touch better.

Not cheap, but growth is unbelievable. Can they keep this growth rate going, and if so, then shares are cheap. This isn't his kind of thing. Too volatile for him. He's not a big risk-taker, but a good company with wonderful products.