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Onex CorpONEX.TOHOLDOct 24, 2014Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 19, 2026. Market Open.
Shares plunged in 2022 and part of this year, but have nearly recovered. Gerry Schwartz is no longer CEO. They've bought and sold many businesses. Onex's intrinsic value is $130-140, but shares trade at $90, so there's a big disconnect by the market. Onex keeps buying back shares and are ramping up acquisitions.
(Analysts’ price target is $112.33)It is going sideways and is on his watchlist. There is lots of upside ahead when it breaks out of its consolidation phase. The breakout hasn't happened yet so he is not buying, but you could trade it - buy it at the bottom of its trading range and sell it at the top. He gives the chart a 5 out of 10 which is not bad.
Brilliantly run for the last 30 years. They've made many successful investments, but the Westjet buy was untimely and slowed down Onex. But post-pandemic, airline travel will really pick up. So, it's now cheap in PE, though the dividend is only 0.5%. Onex hands so much stuff, so you don't know what business will work or bite them. Overall, this is fine.
An acquirer of private businesses and long-established. Strong managers. They began expanding into distresses credit, so there could be opportunities now. They bought Gluskin-Sheff, a private wealth manager for the rich which they rescued from floundering. Synergy here is good. ONEX is a fine company, though pays little in dividends. You can buy this.
Thinks the way to play this over the cycle is to try and anticipate when a lot of its private equity investments are going to crystallize. That is what generates the profitability and the asset value of the company. If you have a sense of when there is a big IPO cycle, then away you go. His sense is that cycle did probably peak 3-4 months ago, so if you own you probably have had your short-term little pop. Longer-term, this is evolving into a broad based company where they are always launching new funds. This is one that you just salt away and just let it go.