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Stockchase Opinions

Ryan ModestoOnex CorpONEX.TOBUYMar 29, 2019

They buy companies and improve the business and then sell the business. He likes it but it is a complicated company. You probably need a 5 year time frame for an equity such as this. It is a nice diversifier in a portfolio but probably not a core position. You have to understand Onex as well as the companies within its structure.
$75.38

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$109.41

As of Jun 19, 2026. Market Open.

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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 28/23, Up 3%)

Wonderful franchise that generates excellent profits. New CEO very experienced. Believes share price should be around $140 / share. Currently undervalued with room for growth. Will continue to own shares. 

DON'T BUY

More of a niche, smaller, private equity player that gets left out of transactions. Could narrow discount to NAV, say, by using excess cash to buy back shares. But that would reduce ability to do deals. Likely to continue to trade at a discount. Instead, look at BN.

TOP PICK

Shares plunged in 2022 and part of this year, but have nearly recovered. Gerry Schwartz is no longer CEO. They've bought and sold many businesses. Onex's intrinsic value is $130-140, but shares trade at $90, so there's a big disconnect by the market. Onex keeps buying back shares and are ramping up acquisitions.

(Analysts’ price target is $112.33)
COMMENT

Likes the private equity space. Has rallied 30% since June, but still trading at a discount to NAV. Has a long track record. A great way for investors to participate in areas that are closed to them, making private equity public.

TRADE

It is going sideways and is on his watchlist. There is lots of upside ahead when it breaks out of its consolidation phase. The breakout hasn't happened yet so he is not buying, but you could trade it - buy it at the bottom of its trading range and sell it at the top. He gives the chart a 5 out of 10 which is not bad.

DON'T BUY

Very strong management team.
Hard stock to value. Private equity firm.
Trading at discount to net asset value.
High interest rates makes it hard for company to grow.
Better names to own.

COMMENT
It is a large private equity firm and it is hard to understand all the moving parts. It has a good management team which has generated some fantastic returns over the years.
DON'T BUY
Distressed asset managers good to look at in a down market. Anyone who has raised fresh capital will be good to look at. Will be a counter cyclical business model. Would pass on Onex for now.
COMMENT
He's liked this for a while. Always trade at a discount to NAV, especially steep now. You need to break down their businesses, like Westjet, to valuate the company. No idea how well Westjet has done for them. Is well-managed. You will need to research their holdings. Doesn't own it now. Likes the company.
WEAK BUY
Exposed to many of the same secular forces as BAM, but with smaller scale. Succession worries are overblown. Likely to outperform the TSX. Past stumbles have been fixed. Back on track, but prefers BAM.
TOP PICK
Private equity companies have really taken off. Trading at a discount to asset values. Can own private equity but at a discount. You get the benefit of the management company and holdings. A premier private equity company. (Analysts’ price target is $108.20)
DON'T BUY

Consolidating over the last year. Rally off the bottom has not been terribly convincing. If cost of capital is rising, makes it tougher on these businesses. You'll do fine, but he'd rather own companies that are more leveraged to public, not private, markets. Try TROW, BAM, or CIX.

BUY

Brilliantly run for the last 30 years. They've made many successful investments, but the Westjet buy was untimely and slowed down Onex. But post-pandemic, airline travel will really pick up. So, it's now cheap in PE, though the dividend is only 0.5%. Onex hands so much stuff, so you don't know what business will work or bite them. Overall, this is fine.

COMMENT
EIF-T Onex IS a holding company that owns industrials and several small airlines that served remote regions (i.e. northern Quebec). All airlines are struggling now, but these remote areas still depend on airlines flying there. Onex also owns light industrials, like one they bought in the US recently. Well-managed and a roll-up story. Are astute acquirers. Also pays a juicy dividend.
BUY

An acquirer of private businesses and long-established. Strong managers. They began expanding into distresses credit, so there could be opportunities now. They bought Gluskin-Sheff, a private wealth manager for the rich which they rescued from floundering. Synergy here is good. ONEX is a fine company, though pays little in dividends. You can buy this.