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Royal Caribbean CruisesRCLWAITMay 11, 2016Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
Best among the cruise line stocks given its healthy balance sheet, better than Carnival. Tailwind comes from demand post-pandemic. The #3 S&P stock of 2023, up over 160%. There remains huge demand from Americans. Also, Wall Street no longer expects a hard landing to the economy, which a soft one which benefits the cruise lines.
Royal Caribbean is a little better than Carnival, but all these stocks will benefit from the coming travel boom and economic reopening. Keeping ships at port is a big expense over all these months. There's 20-25% recovery left in the cruiselines. He bought at the bottom and has sold some. There's still upside here, but it's a higher risk stock. Sure, some travelers will never cruise again, but once vaccines are in place enough will come back. Cruiselines have recovered from past health scares.
This has been a well-managed company for some time. What you are buying into is a very high beta of 1.45, meaning it is 45% riskier than the market. He would avoid the stock because there is too much volatility. Also, one of their major inputs is fuel, and feels the price of oil is not done going up. There will be a better chance to get this in the near future.