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TSE:SU

Suncor Energy Inc (SU.TO)

78.32
+0.14 (0.18%)
as of Jun 19, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
834 watching
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COMMENT

Buy on current weakness? He owns CNQ instead. His strategy is to own the larger-cap oil companies. SU will spend some money in capex and likely increase that, buyback shares and raise their dividend. All large oil companies around the world are doing this. Of course, rising oil prices will help. These companies are in better shape than before. Both SU and CNQ make acquisitions at the right time.

BUY ON WEAKNESS
He's long followed this and used to own it, not now because of oil prices. There are so many incentives to raise oil production which will likely moderate prices. SU is vertically integrated, so it's more durable than peers, and it has a massive, strong balance sheet. They position themselves as a dividend play. It could be a counter-cyclical acquirer which could add company value. Energy stocks have rebounded sharply this year, too.
DON'T BUY

Execution has always been an issue for them. The streets are worried about their ability so this is why it trades at a discount. Stock is inexpensive at 3.6x cashflow with a 19% free cashflow yield. If you want to stick in the large cap realm, he prefers Cenovus. Could trade at a discount for some time.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 01/20, Up 53.7%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with SU has triggered its stop at $25. To remain disciplined, we now recommend to cover the position. We will reevaluate another potential entry back into it at a future date.
SELL ON STRENGTH
It's been painful to own Canadian oil and gas. Hard to see any pipelines being approved in NA going forward. The only way this goes up is if oil prices move up for a long time, and if they did he'd sell. Well run, but trading where it was 15 years ago.
BUY
Of the majors, SU is the best. It trades cheaply and has a strong production profile. He can't find fault with it. It continues to execute well and pays a decent dividend.
HOLD
They've stated they will pay down debt, increase dividend, buy back shares. Has made good acquisitions and is trying to move responsibly on environmental concerns. Using more technology to reduce costs and increase margins.
HOLD
Great long-lived assets, low cost producer, levered to oil price. Money is coming out of the sector creating opportunities. It's like a tobacco stock of the 1980s. Could take excess cash to pay down debt, increase dividends, buy back stock, and reinvest in the renewable sector, making it a good investment. Goal of eliminating internal combustion engines by 2035 is unrealistic.
BUY ON WEAKNESS

Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. The company is integrated so there is less torque to oil prices than pure producers. However, the stock is up 38% in 2021. Debt is being reduced, last quarter results were strong and the outlook is good. Has potential and trades at a 10x earnings valuation. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

BUY
A dividend increase is likely. They cut their dividend last year for the first time in 18 years. Oil is now priced at double their break even point. They know that shareholders like some returns. The CEO bought half a million worth of the stock earlier this month.
BUY
Trades at 1.3x NAV, dividend yield of 3%. Oil companies have had such a difficult time over the last several years, they're all rethinking their business. Not doing massive mega-projects anymore or making big acquisitions. Paying down debt and buying back shares. Going to have net zero emissions by 2050. They'll do well and you'll get a good return on them over the next little while as they increase their dividends.
BUY ON WEAKNESS

Well-run, have been cutting costs. He owns no energy, and he prefers energy infrastructure like Pembina. Suncor, though, is a good operator, but he's skeptical about the medium-term outlook on oil, because there are countries that are eager to turn on the taps which will add to world supply. For SU, buy on any pullback. The dividend is safe, because they are generating free cash flow due to rising oil prices.

DON'T BUY

Have not owned large caps until recently and this strategy has helped him outperform the index. Added Cenovus and CNQ recently. Has had operational issues, deaths of workers, and has had problems with ESG. Committed to net zero in the next decades. Canadian oil will increasingly be the highest rated in the world in regards to ESG. Would prefer other names in the large cap names.

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Unlock this Panic-proof Portfolio opinion with Stockchase Premium

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 01/20, Up 70.1%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with SU continues to do well. We are now recommending to trail up the stop (from $17.75) to $25.00. If triggered, this would all but guarantee an investment return of 53%.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 01/21, Up 8%) Solid stock. Not getting a lot of respect. Underperforming the TSX and the energy group. Paying down debt, buying back shares, driving down costs of production. He's not looking at energy, as it's just finishing seasonality. But if you really want to be in energy, this is one to look at.
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