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NYSE:V
Fundamentally, it's worthwhile to understand that Visa is the granddaddy of the card business. It does more transactions that all competitors combined. 60% of business is international. More of a footprint in debit cards. Prefers Visa at a few multiple points cheaper. Potential of high $8 or low $9 EPS for next year.
He doesn't dislike MA, very similar structures and business plans. It's done well.
We don't have a 'internal thesis' on Visa, but the general thesis is that a large amount of transactions done need to go through the 'infrastructure' of either Visa or Mastercard. Also, companies need to accept these cards because not doing so could mean that customers are unable to actually buy good/services from that store. So, they also have some scale advantages due to their market share.
Fundamentally, they are very solid with 50%+ net margins and tend to grow the top-line at a consistent 10% annually. At 24X forward P/E, the shares might not be 'cheap' but we don't think it looks like an egregious valuation either.
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Cross-border travel is a big component of revenue, and this will continue. Fees are coming under pressure, but it's a toll booth. Not a ton of overhead. Once the payment networks are in place, very hard to get off. Trend is away from cash. Increased fraud management and security alerts help solidify loyalty to the ecosystem. Yield is 0.8%.
(Analysts’ price target is $268.40)Benefiting from pickup in travel. Initially bought it for the long-term secular shift from cash to digital. Thesis still intact, lots of runway around the world. Cross-border travel is increasing. Slowing volume in NA, but still anticipating double-digit revenue growth for Q2. Still benefits when people use it to buy essentials.
World's leader in digital payments. $32B in expected revenue this fiscal year. Revenue and earnings exceeded expectations. Benefiting from post-Covid rebound in international, high-margin travel. Global brand recognition, strong balance sheet, dominant market share. Outperforming the S&P since late 2021. Continued move from cash to digital. Predictable earnings and sales growth. Yield is 0.80%.
(Analysts’ price target is $270.47)They just reported. It's the right stock to own now: geographically diverse and transaction-oriented. Cross-border volume was up 24%. This is how to participate in Asia-Pacific's reopening. Now is the perfect climate for Visa and Mastercard. Q3 net revenue growth expected to be in low-double digits.
Participated in this rally. Visa benefits whether consumer buys goods or services. Payments volume is larger than MA's. Growth trend from cash to digital payments, plus e-commerce growth will continue. Yield is 0.74%.
(Analysts’ price target is $268.26)