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NYSE:VZ
Looking at US telecoms, there is good news and bad news. The good news is that you are getting big, fat, juicy dividends. The bad news is that the stock hasn’t really gone anywhere. Prefers Canadian telcos. Although the dividend yield might be lower, on an after-tax basis it becomes more attractive.
Reinventing itself. It bought the minority interest of the wireless business from Vodafone (VOD-Q) a couple of years ago. Sold a lot of its wireline business to Frontier, so it is really committed to the wireless side of development, which is a very, very big growth area. Yields about 5%. Be patient and it will do well over time. Not expensive.
Has been starting to look at Canadian telecom stocks again because they have been under some pressure. Then he compared them to the US telecom stocks, and found they were a lot cheaper than the Canadians’. Thinks people are a little reticent or worried about growth for this company. This, with its decent yield and very good valuation and owning the pipes that are going to generate the growth in the Internet traffic still, is pretty attractive right now.
This looks and smells more like a tech company than the telecom. They sold their wire line business. In all 50 states from a wireless standpoint. Recently did a deal to buy AOL and are creating a platform there. It is going to be video, data and streaming, which looks like technology to him. With the cash flow that they have, there is an opportunity to see 2 things; increasing organic growth and the revision of the multiple higher to reflect that growth.
Are the yields of 4.5%-5.5% sustainable on BCE (BCE-T), Verizon (VZ-N) and Vodafone (VOD-Q)? Most of the dividends are sustainable and he thinks they can afford to grow their dividends. BCE trades at a very high multiple at almost 16X earnings. Why people are worried about BCE is that it is not only a telephone company, but also a communications company. Verizon and Vodafone gives you much more of a pure play.
This has a secure cash flow and a secure dividend. The difficulty is that service providers are having a hard time getting paid for what they do. There is recent legislation in the US around “net neutrality”, which basically makes it harder for the service companies to tier their pricing to their users. Telcos, as a whole, behave much like bonds do, in that they tend to be tightly tied to interest rates. With concerns that short rates may start to rise over the next few months, there could be a headwind for some of the telcos. He would prefer pharmaceuticals that have the same characteristics of a predictable business with a good cash flow and good dividends and some growth, such as Pfizer (PFE-N)
This has a pretty good dividend yield and a history of increasing its dividend. Companies like this deserve to be held for the long-term. If you sell your holdings, you are going to take the capital gains hit, and immediately have to pay some money to the government.