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TSE:ALA

Altagas Ltd (ALA.TO)

53.87
+0.55 (1.03%)
as of Jun 19, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
576 watching
0
COMMENT
Will there be more downward pressure? It's a toughie. They expanded in the U.S and bit off more than they could chew. They also changed top management. Financing didn't go well. It's a comedy of errors. When they announced the dividend cut--and they should. They will get a bottom in place. If ALA does another dilution (which he doesn't expect), that's a caveat. Now, it's very cheap. If you're patient, wait it out.
WATCH
There is a lot of concern about earnings and viability of the dividend. It looks like TRP-T in 1998 when they talked of reducing their dividend. It reversed since then. ALA-T has a lot of nervousness. All the fundamentals changed and it is now a dangerous stock. We need to wait for a confirmation of the reversal of the downtrend. They got rid of the premium drip program but that is just a drip in the bucket.
STRONG BUY
Can't believe how far down it's at now, at 30% discount to its book value. This has big, big upside. Has a $21 book value, which this could reach without breathing hard. Sometimes stocks sell-off irrationally.
DON'T BUY
Sell after doubling down recently? They'll likely cut the dividend; that's why there's major selling. They swallowed a lot of debt to pay for the WGL purchase. They sold some assets, but it's not enough--they need to sell more. They just missed targets badly. Failed to pay a good price for WGL and he doesn't feel they can absorb WGL with its other assets.
HOLD
They just pulled off a huge acquisition in the US. If we can close above the $20 level then there should be a bigger shift underway and the stock is improving. There was a short term base forming over the last couple of days. If we close below the lows of the last couple of days then you should reduce exposure. Wait before you buy it.
DON'T BUY
Dividend of 13%, so expect a 50% dividend cut. This has been a complete disaster. Yes, dividends are great but what's a company's payout ratio and industry they're in? Look for dividend growers instead.
TOP PICK
Bought a ¼ position when dividend went over 10%. They’re buffing up the balance sheet buy selling assets. Alberta-based is negative, but at this price it’s a good play for cash flow. Yield is 13.2%. (Analysts’ price target is $25.58)
SELL ON STRENGTH

The balance sheet is stretched and still needs fixing. They recently spun-off. A dividend cut is likely. It's getting hit today. You could see a dead-cat balance. This sector is out of favour. Has good assets. Sell it on any blip back up. Investors today are assuming a dividend cut.

BUY

They did a spinoff of some of their Canadian assets to pay off some of their debt. Dividend payout is high but not inconceivable that it can stay there. If they did cut the dividend, it would not be a major cut. He likes the company. There is some upside potential. There are safer names in the utility space. This is a high leveraged utility name.

DON'T BUY

They once had a good balance between utilities and non, but they just spun out their utilities. Also, they're fairly levered. Will they get a negative credit re-rating? And the dividend is a worrysome 10%. Look elsewhere in this space and be wary of ALA.

DON'T BUY

The 10% dividend isn't safe. They bought WGL in 2016 and this expensive deal just closed. The market didn't like it. ALA now has a ton of debt and it's paying it down by spinning off the Canadian assets. The market gave it a giant yawn, so ALA had to lower the IPO price. He doesn't like the management. Look elsewhere for a stable divide

BUY ON WEAKNESS

They are overleveraged. They spun out their utilities becoming a pure play on the midstream space. he thinks they will right size the dividend yield.

TOP PICK

He had sold this in January because of uncertainty in their acquisition. Within the last month or two, this has been unfairly smoked. They still need to decrease their debt and realize another asset sale to pay down some debt. It is very out of favour right now. Yield = 10.2% (Analysts’ price target is $26.33)

WAIT

When a dividend is over 10% like ALA's, you know what the answer is--not bad. Yes, when the WGL assets appear next year, the stock will look better. Today, they spun off the Canadian asset a new Altagas; they likely didn't get the price they wanted, but the deal was at least done and it removes some uncertain. But those Canadian assets are gone, though the WGL assets will now appear. A bit of a wash. Wait another year for them to delever further. Pays a 10.6% dividend.

COMMENT

Owned it for a long time. Then, ALA got into trouble. He's now wait and see with ALA. The market needs to get their head around their earnings and how sustainable their 10% dividend is. Be careful here.

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