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TSE:BNS
Not in his top 3 Canadian banks, because their operations in Latin America never earned proper returns. Also, they had to go outside the company to replace the CEO last year, and he wasn't even in banks. This is a risk and could lead to a revolving door of execs. This remains a show-me story. Historically, BNS has lagged its peers, returning shareholder returns at 3% annually over the past 5 years vs. peers of 5-14%.
Yields 6.4%, among the highest at Canadian banks. Clearly, there are problems. You're not paying a lot for this, and TD and Royal could drop further in an economic downturn. He's unsure if the CEO will stay long term or is a place-holder. Historically, buying the weakest Canadian bank has been a good strategy. In this sector, he's looking at BNS and CIBC, but isn't rushing into this space, because rising interest rates will hurt consumers (liquidity and the ability to pay loans). That said, it won't hurt to buy a partial position now.
Bit more volatile than the rest of the group. Quite good dividend yield of 6.5%, raised it 3% last quarter, doesn't see it being cut. Larger international segment, which can create volatility, especially in earnings. Big change in leadership. Worried about its losing senior management. Not sure of strategic direction. Reasonable valuation, below peers.
BNS has been a perennial underperformer, he sold. Not tempted to buy the Canadian banks right now.
TD gave pretty decent targets of high single-digit growth over the medium term. Market doesn't believe them, stock remains under pressure. Worries about Canadian housing, economy, higher interest rates. A lot of the damage is already in the share price.
He owns NA. He looks for the best companies that have the best management and add value over 3-5 years, and doesn't worry about day to day stock prices.
Very cheap. 1.4-1.6x book value. Trading around 10x earnings. Great business. Tough time recently, partly due to what's happened with US banks. Higher rates increased costs, loan losses went up. Will be substantially higher 1-2 years from now. Yield is 6%.