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TSE:CM
Around 65% of CBIC's loans have exposure to real estate, with 55% consumer and 10% commercial. CIBC's higher exposure to real estate does make it relatively riskier, and it is one of the smaller banks. Still, its valuation of less than 8X earnings reflects some, or even all, of this risk. We would still be comfortable owning the stock, but until recession fears go away or rates peak it may not do much.
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You can hold it for income. Dividend is safe for sure. Less foreign exposure, so this will benefit them in the short term. Canadian assets continue to grow. Best quarterly results of all the banks. Mortgage book and credit cards could come under pressure. He prefers other banks, based on history with CM. Pretty compelling yield of 6.2%.
A bit like chalk and cheese. CM is the most domestic and Canadian bank. BNS is the most international, especially in Latin America. BNS has more risk because of all that could go wrong in developing countries. CM has more risk because it rarely has found a log that it couldn't trip itself over. Invest with the one that you bank with. It will at least be emotionally satisfying, as your bank charges will be covered by dividends, which will increase regardless.
Canadian banks are reasonably priced, but still headwinds on loan losses. He likes the one with the best balance sheet, TD. He also likes CM, with its outsized dividend yield and low valuation. BMO is OK.
For the heavy lifting in your portfolio, he'd look instead at insurance companies with similar yields and more growth over the next 1-2 years.