Guide Exploration (GO.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

Guide Exploration (GO.TO)

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WAIT

Highflying stock way back when. Really fell out of favour compared to pier group. There are doubts about management being able to meet their forecast. It won’t go up in multiple until you have had successive quarters meeting forecast. Great assets, but quiet money – unless they get taken out.

SELL

Have not been able to make production targets for the last 3 years. There are questions as to whether they can grow.

HOLD

A “show me” story. Evenly weighted between gas and oil. Had some good oil results from the Doik (?) play, which is good.

BUY

Has been a bit of a laggard but thinks that energy over the first 6 months is poised to outperform. Sees oil in the $70-$90 range and all natural gas producers will benefit.

HOLD

(Market Call Minute)

HOLD

Disappointed in the last year or so by its inability to meet production forecasts. Becoming a “show me” story.

HOLD

Good management and have put together a reasonably good set of plays. Lost traction recently. Drilling in a very competitive area in central Alberta.

HOLD

Natural gas. Under performer over the last few years because of some production issues. Looks cheap compared to its peers.

TOP PICK

Have executed nicely over the last five years. Hasn't participated in the oil/gas rally. Asset rich with lots of drilling development. Have significant oil as well as unconventional natural gas plays in the Montney. Trading at about 5X net adjusted cash flow. Very cheap.

BUY

About 60% natural gas and 40% light oil. Operate in the Peace River Arch in Alberta along with gas exposure in North-East BC. A recovery in gas prices will drive the stock forward.

HOLD

Like other gas producers, had a good pop through the summer. Focused in the Montney. A “wait and see” picture. 19,000 BOE's production per day. Transitioning from an explorer into a developer that usually results in some aches and pains.

COMMENT

Over promised and under delivered lately. Not much production growth over the past 2-3 years. Strong land base and a lot of opportunities.

BUY

(Market Call Minute.)

HOLD

(Market Call Minute.) Has disappointed perennially.

TOP PICK

Had a huge drop in 2008 from $20 down to $2.50. Since then it has made a wonderful base so it is on the verge of a major breakout.

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Guide Exploration (GO.TO)