Guide Exploration (GO.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

Guide Exploration (GO.TO)

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13 watching

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Oil/gas producer. Likes their Western Canada asset base. Thinks energy is poised for out performance in the next 6 months or so.

BUY

Gas weighted. One of the cheaper stocks because it has disappointed in the past. Very good, large land base. Great M&A target.

COMMENT

Fairly mixed production between gas and oil. Views Puskwa oil portion as a sort of sustaining kind of asset with a cash flow that will ultimately be devoted to developing the eastern Montney assets. Considerable drilling inventory ahead of them. Always cheap because of the perennially high leverage and history of missing production targets. He is considering buying.

BUY

About 60% waited to oil production and the rest in Alberta-based gas, which is suffering. Very interesting exploration program although stock price hasn't performed as well as they would like. Will go through some tougher times but has a history of managing through that. On his radar screen.

BUY

Couldn't believe how low it was priced but is now starting to move up. A lot of land. Good management. Good potential for many years.

TOP PICK

Has a core area in the Peace River arch of about 1 million acres. Mostly natural gas but a good oil weighting. Balance sheet is in good shape. Think they will do over $1 in cash flow this year. BV is $8.45. Think they will be increasing production by the 4th quarter. (Doesn't own but has other relations with the firm.)

DON'T BUY

Very good asset base in the Peace River arch in Alberta. Market has started to lose confidence in management partly because they failed to meet guidance for many quarters in a row. Debt is high. There are better ways to play gas.

HOLD

A little difficult to call simply because it is still in the penalty box. Large landowner in Montney and have some diversity between oil and gas. Good management. However they haven’t really performed lately.

HOLD

Very cheap and very good asset base however over the past few years they have struggled to reach production targets.

BUY

Likes the company and management. Have a large Montney position, which is very strong. Also has some oil. A lot of development possibilities. No balance sheet issues.

DON'T BUY

Expecting a pullback in oil and natural gas. Ranks very low in his database.

TOP PICK

Natural gas stocks have lagged and he is getting little more positive on gas. There is an oversupply but you can get rid of that in a hurry. This one is in the Montney area and has great growth. Recently raised some financing so the balance sheet is in better shape.

BUY

This screens really well for him. Great company, good prospects but hasn't done much. Natural gas has been part of this problem.

DON'T BUY

Just did a financing because their balance sheet was stretched but are still looking reasonably stretched. Also not seen operational growth quarter over quarter.

BUY

There are a few more miles left in this one. Likes it because it is 60% oil. Have some great plays in Alberta. Has a lot of excess acreage it can grow in.

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Guide Exploration (GO.TO)