Hudbay Minerals (HBM.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

Hudbay Minerals (HBM.TO)

39.11

+0.11 (0.28%)

as of Jun 19, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.

186 watching

DON'T BUY

Analysts see a target of $4.25. He is more cautious based on how vibrant the economy will be. Their business is focused on base metals like copper. Commodities will likely be in a sideways range for some time to come. Earnings are negative and expected to be down over 100% this year. This is not an active purchase candidate for him. He suggests owning gold stocks instead. (Analysts’ price target is $4.25)

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DON'T BUY

Buy Keyera instead? He briefly owned this. An activist last year changed management, which didn't work for him. He doubts they'll get a Tuscon permit for their Rosemont copper mind in the States, given activists opposing it. As for Keyera, it's an apples and oranges talk--very different companies. But Keyera is a stronger company financially, so it'd be an uptrade.

DON'T BUY

2019 was a bad year, losing top management and a key growth project, Rosemont, has been halted by a court order. But their Manitoba zinc operations are fine. But Peruvian operations are troubled, though they have reached a settlement there. Production going forward may be flat or decline.

COMMENT

Effected by the coronavirus? The coronavirus has effected the entire space, but HBM has fallen since late-2017 with two spikes up in its chart. In the last six months, it's fallen further to $3.60 with support at this level. Base metals pick up in March (seasonality), though. HBM must tournaround or it will fall below $3, per late-2015 levels.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Feb 26/19, Down 55%) This is nothing but ugly and didn't work out. Sometimes things change that you didn't anticipate. He sold last July. Sometimes your first loss is your best loss. It continued to go down.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Feb 14/19, Down 36%) Their mine in Arizona is running into delays. This is really a call on copper prices. Copper prices are starting to rebound and with housing construction accounting for 40% of copper demand, the recent uptick in housing starts is also supportive. We could see another leg up on this run. It is currently neutral for him, but he will watch for upward price momentum.

SELL

As a pure trend guy, this has been in a gently sloping downtrend for a while. The lows have been getting gently lower, and the highs gently higher. Might rally back a bit, or you just say there's another bus.

HOLD

Legal hurdles? A play on copper and he has been a long term holder. The proxy fights from last year are over. There is some issue about permitting on the upcoming US project. He thinks it will be approved longer term, but it may take longer. With all the turmoil in the world and given we are near an end of a bull cycle, this is a good time to get into base metals. What he needs to see is more investment in industrial production. You will have to be patient. He will continue to hold it.

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WAIT

Dispute it coming down, it could go down further. Institutions usually don’t hold stocks cheaper than $5. In this case, wait for it to tick back up in consolidation.

HOLD

He isn't looking for buoyancy in the underlying commodity price. Losing Rosemont permit: that appeal will take a long time. Meanwhile, HBM must focus--and is--elsewhere to expand. The stock has been punished by the pullback of the Rosemont permit. Hold this for a few years and it could double. Meanwhile, wait and see.

BUY

The sector had a slight run and is now rangebound. It is now at the low end of $10. Buy it now as a trade.

DON'T BUY

A quality company but really over a decade it made nobody any money. It's tradable. It is an under-performer. He does not like it long term.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Oct 24/18, Down 7%) If not for the delay in the Rosemount mine, this would do a lot better. Disappointing, but he's waiting--that's key. Its assets are attractive. At least it isn't operating in politically sensitive areas.

SELL

Arizona mine hung up in admin for at least another year. Copper prices rolled over. Don't want to own a marginal commodity producer admidst slowing global growth.

DON'T BUY

You have to have a strong stomach to be into mining stocks. A recession causes this sector to sold off aggressively. He does not like that fact that miners are price takers -- they have little control over revenues. He likes companies like Apple that are price makers. He predicts HBM-T share prices will be volatile, especially since we are late in the economic cycle. He would stay away.

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