Hudbay Minerals (HBM.TO)

Trade tensions with China are going to see demand keep falling for base metals. Sometime in 2021 a lot of these stocks are going to be cheap and have growth for 10 years plus, and that is when to get into them. This is one of the purest plays in the base metals space.

All the base metals are getting creamed, down a ton. Frustrating--they aren't hitting on any of their metrics. It's getting more difficult to produce copper at present prices, problems with the mines. It's oversold. There could be heavy tax-loss selling soon. He wishes operations were going better. In a recent controversy, a seller doesn't want Hudbay to buy anything now as takeover and merger specualtion ensues.

An unhappy hedge fund and shareholder which insists that HBM halt a big acquisition. HBM is languishing more than its peers. Their upcoming projects like Rosemount have been delayed, but their primary investment is performing quite well. Some quarters have seen some setbacks. Now, the stock is very cheap at 60-70% book value, a buying opportunity. (Analysts price target: $9.93)

Most of their revenue is from Copper. It is a base metal play. You have to watch China. China is slowing. He does not think Copper will have a big upswing any time soon. He prefers more diversification through ETFs into these spaces.

The vast majority of revenue is copper and base metals. It is a base metals play. You have to watch China who has the biggest net swing for demand. They are growing at a slower rate every year. This stock will probably underperform lots of other things you could hold. It is a fine company otherwise.

There is a more technical based CEO there now. The company has gone through good expansion and now they are focusing on permitting in the Arizona mine. It has been a lengthy process to get approvals and expects 2019 to see approval. He is generally very light on holding base metals, especially in the face of current trade disputes.

It's had a huge pullback from $13 to $6. It has nice upside and discount to book value. His target is $5.40 as a bounce.

(Past Top Pick, June 7, 2017, Up 2%) There's been pressure on commodities lately. He hopes there will be better grades of minerals coming from their mines; recent ones have disappointed. This should be trading more in line with its
peers. Valuation remains solid.

Metals have done okay recently. We are seeing a breakdown on this one. It tested about $8 over and over and then recently broke down. If you hold it, consider selling it.

(A Top Pick May 9/17, Down 9%) It had a heck of a run and then dropped. The mining sector is probably the best contrarian, undervalued sector out there. You have to ask what is the cost to replace the reserves in the ground. These guys have done a great job. These guys make a lot of cash flow. It is a great investment and it has been overdone. People don't by these stocks.

A late-cycle play. A copper and zinc producer. Low cost and good balance sheet. They have new projects in Arizona, Peru and Manitoba. It's recovered over the past few years, then has gone sideways. It's a good trading vehicle if you buy below $8 and sell it at $11 within that channel. (Analysts' price target: $12.83)