Opinions The Monthly Gems by Allan Tong
Metro Inc (A)MRU.TOTOP PICKJul 06, 2022
Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 24, 2026. Market Open.
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Trading at market multiple. Raised dividend. Low-risk business, with only 3 grocery stores in Canada. Took advantage of increase in food prices, but now prices are coming down. Excess profit will be squeezed out. Won't lose money, but won't make it either for the next 2 years. Enjoy the dividend.
High quality grocery, plus now a major drugstore operator. Targeted marketing to customers results in a higher spend per basket. Impressive management, impressive returns. Good balance sheet. At 17x, more expensive than the market, so avoid. Instead, try NWC at 13x and a bigger yield at 4.5%.
MRU-T vs. EMP.A-T. Metro has been his favourite grocery stock for 15 years. Grocery are the stay-at-home stocks but as we exit the pandemic this is not where you want to be. Don’t buy until the rotation is completed.
He has been a fan for 15 years but regrets not buying it. It has run up more than Loblaws so he would not get it now. Wait for a rotation out of grocery stocks and then at that point he would prefer this one to L-T.
You want defensive stocks right now. Big thing is Jean Coutu, and integration will create earnings and cash flow growth. More difficult issue is how to expand that brand beyond Quebec, and this is already priced into the stock. A defensive name, and you can do quite well. Yield is 1.7%.
Metro has two buys, five holds and a $74.29 price target that's 7.5% higher than the current price. Its 4.63% profit margin beats Weston's 4.11% and Empire's 2.69%, though Metro's gross margin lafs those peers. Again, you won't get rich buying Metro shares, but you can park your money here and see a safe, though modest return during all this volatility.