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TSE:NFI

New Flyer Industries Inc. (NFI.TO)

22.69
-0.09 (0.40%)
as of Jun 19, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
378 watching
0
TOP PICK
Value and cyclicality. Biden infrastructure deal is legit. Focus on green new economy in Canada and US is the real deal. With their rapid cycle of product innovation they're prepared to capitalize handsomely on this generational refresh of transportation. Earnings will potentially grow fivefold between 2021-25. Shares are undervalued. Strong growth ahead. Yield is 3.06%. (Analysts’ price target is $34.00)
HOLD
A leader in transit buses in NA. A good long term growing area. Last year, it got to compelling levels and has rallied off the bottom. The covid scenario has brought questions on the transit area. Usage of cars and gas demand is high. Mass transit is still constrained. We do not know if transit usage will come back to trends. Governments are spending through debt but this will come to a stop at some point.
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It's a Monthly Gems opinion which is available only for Stockchase Premium

Curated by Allan Tong since 2019.
99+ opinions with 4.15 rating.

TOP PICK
Winnipeg busmaker was once a Bay Street darling, then production numbers tanked before Covid sent the stock went into purgatory. Emerging from the lockdown, though, NFI is now in a good position to capitalize on the e-vehicle trend. The busmaker is rolling out more zero-emission vehicles, which cities across North American will favour under the eco-friendly Biden administration. Jurisdictions across North America will need to replace their aging fleets, anyway. NFI has also been expanding into Europe, including the U.K. In fact, at the end of June, NFI delivered four double-decker e-buses to Edinburgh. The street targets $34.67 or 24% upside based on six buys. The stock has edged up in the last weeks, but remains $5 below its 52-week high. Pick it up and see where the ride takes you before committing more, and collect the 3% dividend yield.
WATCH
Retraced quite a bit, and has now had quite a nice upward move. The theory is that infrastructure, renewables, and EVs will be positive for the stock. That may all work out, but the company's failed to deliver on what they say they're going to do for a number of years. Monitor to see if they can produce stable financial results.
TOP PICK
They are geared toward the re-opening of the economy. Quietly they are becoming an electric vehicle infrastructure company. Electric buses have a longer life than fossil fuel buses. (Analysts’ price target is $34.00)
BUY
He likes it here. It is depressed following a drop off in orders. He thinks we will see public transit utilization improve as cities start to open. They create electric buses also. It is a good recovery play.
SHORT
An industrial sector stock that does well in this type of environment. Has been a volatile stock with negative ROE. Cashflow is poor too. Interest coverage is not good. Yield is there but payout ratio is high.
WATCH
Mixed track record with production challenges, debt. Recently there's been optimism around EVs, and NFI is one of the larger companies to participate in the trend. Electrification is a small portion of their business, and there are some growth opportunities. Dividend is probably sustainable. He'd want to see more consistent performance before buying.
BUY
You want Canadian industrial companies. Making zero emission buses. Trading at 19x 2022 PE. Nice revenue and earnings growth. Adding here. They do have an extended balance sheet. Interest rates are very low. Nice growth potential over the next year or two.
TOP PICK
A recovery stock. NFI will enjoy pent-up demand as the public sector re-supplies their bus fleets with e-buses, which NFI is well-positioned to supply. NFI has a balance of manufacturing buses in the U.S. as well as Canada, which will satisfy made-in-America requirements. This pays a 3% yield and is well-priced. Will benefit from the trend towards green mass transit. (Analysts’ price target is $36.53)
TOP PICK
A dominant manufacturers for transit buses for cities, states and local governments in North America. They are growing their presence in the UK and Europe with recent acquisition. There is also a smaller coach, after-market parts/services business with fledgling infrastructure business. Earnings are cyclically depressed but they could grow as much as 5 fold. There is a huge refresh cycle for EV buses from legacy fleet. Undervalued here. (Analysts’ price target is $36.53)
BUY

In the context of carbon tax announcements and the green push in US government Generally, yes, he'd buy this. There is a green push which will benefit NFI in the next couple of years. As for the Covid effect: People riding transit are extremely cautious and practice safety measures like distancing. Secondly, a company called Gatekeeper will take a passenger's body temperature as they board the bus, as applied to kids boarding school buses.

DON'T BUY
They did very well last decade. He is concerned that half of their business is municipal busses. Half the funding comes from federal government. The FAST act ended in 2020 which funded city buses. He would avoid a company that is that dependant on federal funding for selling their products.
DON'T BUY
He transitioned out of this in the spring. The thesis was that electric buses would be a greater part of the fleet in North America. He felt there was better opportunities for the money he had in this one. It is a stock market psychology phenomenon.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 18/19, Down 38%) Buses are in the crosshairs of the pandemic. Governments are greening their infrastructure, and NFI will benefit. A leader in electrification of buses and infrastructure. Future is bright, just on pause. You could do well 3-5 years from now.
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