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Suncor Energy IncSU.TOWEAK BUYSep 01, 2021Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 19, 2026. Market Open.
The poster child for carbon haters. No rush to enter this, but SU will continue to pay shareholders well for the rest of their lives. An arbitrage play between the price of oil and natural gas. Likes SU long term, but shares could be depressed due to Canadian politics and interest rates if they rise.
We see recent M&A as a positive, as SU needs supply. For Suncor, the recent purchase secures long-term bitumen supplies for the upgraders at its Base Plant, prolonging the operation’s lifespan. The company has been searching for new supplies for the facilities after the Canadian government signaled last year that it might not approve a project to extend the life of the mine that currently feeds them. So, positive for operations, but the total value is still quite small for the size of SU (about 3.5% of market cap).
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Cut dividend. Fort Hills has been delayed. Cut operational expenses. About 1B in free cashflow. Still trading cheap, at 4x cashflow. He owns CNQ in the space, for better risk/return. He'd be a buyer instead of a seller. Possibility of increased dividend to entice investors.