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Suncor Energy IncSU.TOBUYMar 15, 2023Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 19, 2026. Market Open.
The poster child for carbon haters. No rush to enter this, but SU will continue to pay shareholders well for the rest of their lives. An arbitrage play between the price of oil and natural gas. Likes SU long term, but shares could be depressed due to Canadian politics and interest rates if they rise.
We see recent M&A as a positive, as SU needs supply. For Suncor, the recent purchase secures long-term bitumen supplies for the upgraders at its Base Plant, prolonging the operation’s lifespan. The company has been searching for new supplies for the facilities after the Canadian government signaled last year that it might not approve a project to extend the life of the mine that currently feeds them. So, positive for operations, but the total value is still quite small for the size of SU (about 3.5% of market cap).
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Investors have collectively decided that the banking crisis will cause a hard landing recession and thus a drop in oil demand.
It is certainly one possibility, but it is also possible that it doesn't.
Valuations look good for investors willing to look beyond a few months.
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