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TSE:WCP
Whitecap Resources (WCP.TO)
Financials 
Technical Analysis 
Promised no M&A this year, but focusing on rewarding shareholders. Expects them to hit final debt target by end of this year, where dividend will increase by 28% to almost 8%. Will still have residual free cashflow left, so he's hoping for meaningful share buybacks. Minimum inventory depth of 20 years. Good leverage to increased oil price. Yield is 6.19%.
(Analysts’ price target is $13.98)
Eric NuttallWhole group is undervalued. Likes mix of gas and oil and last year's deal. Committed to increasing return of capital and dividend yield up close to 7% by Q3. Nice cashflow. Production should grow 3-5% per year and still have cash leftover at current commodity prices. Earnings report today was nothing special.
Jamie Murray Acquisition binge. Expected to hit debt target by July. Guided to seeing a dividend increase, up to around 7%. Durability on dividend is down to $50 USD a barrel. Debt managed well. M&A is done, now it's about harvesting free cashflow.
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Premium contentWe once again reiterate WCP, a low cost oil and gas producer in the Montney and Duvernay shale regions as a TOP PICK. The company aims to prudently grow production 12% this year, while still reducing debt and buying back shares. The company's strategy is to payout 75% of FCF to shareholders. It pays a fine dividend, backed by a payout ratio under 15% of cash flow. We continue to recommend a stop-loss at $9.25, looking to achieve $14.00 -- upside potential over 30%. Yield 5.2%
(Analysts’ price target is $14.31)
Owns shares in the company.
Projecting a $22 share price given $80-$100 oil.
PDP reserves at 6 years.
Highly discounted at current share price.
75% free cash flow committed in Q2.
Believes company will raise dividends.
Also expecting large share buybacks.
Eric NuttallPremium contentWe once again reiterate this low cost oil and gas producer in the Montney and Duvernay shale regions as a TOP PICK. Recently reported earnings show free cash flow exceeding the last three years combined, allowing for debt to be retired and shares bought back. The company's strategy is to payout 75% of FCF to shareholders and use the balance to reduce debt. It pays a fine dividend, backed by a payout ratio under 15% of cash flow. We continue to recommend a stop-loss at $9.25, looking to achieve $15.00 -- upside potential over 36%. Yield 5.3%
(Analysts’ price target is $14.88)
One of the hottest energy companies in Canada.
Russia output cuts and China re-opening good for oil prices.
Believes energy prices will remain high.
Great company with excellent management.
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We like the valuation and growth profile. At 7X earnings it is a bit pricier than some, but we think it is one of the better names. Results will likely decline this year with pricing. We would be comfortable at $9.50.
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