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TSE:CP

Canadian Pacific Rail (CP.TO)

120.81
-0.80 (0.66%)
as of Jun 19, 2026, 8:00:01 pm Market Open.
305 watching
0
BUY
Railroad business is a great business. Only a few players in the industry so easy to raise prices. Better prices = better margins. Owns CN Rail, but not CP Rail. Good stock to own over the long term.
BUY ON WEAKNESS

Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. Current KSU holders will be getting CP stock and some may decide to exit. The deal has been in the news and this is probably priced in. A drop would not change any of the fundamentals of the company so you could use it to buy in. The benefits from the merger will take some time, but it is an investment and not a trade. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

DON'T BUY
Under pressure right now. Trades at 19x earnings. Hard to squeeze as many synergies out of the acquisition as it thought. Not convinced it will be a great play. You might get a return of 5-10% over the next 2-3 years, not great growth. Restructuring costs.
WEAK BUY
CP vs. CNR You can probably buy it here, hold it for the long term, make pretty good money, and outperform the TSX. He aims to buy the best opportunity in each sector, so he owns CNR. BC flooding will impact earnings of both, but not a long-term issue. KSU merger is this week, likely to be approved. Challenge integrating this sizeable acquisition. Opportunity is better in CNR.
BUY
A good company, but shares have come down so far that you must buy. Will do well when the economy rebounds.
HOLD
Big acquisition will cost money, but will be great for them over the next 10 years. Short-term issues in BC. All this is already priced into the stock. Fine to hold.
BUY
CP vs. PPL CP from a growth perspective. The KSU acquisition will be fantastic. Next couple of quarters might be difficult, but the acquisition will be accretive. But hang on to PPL for decent valuation, some growth, great yield.
COMMENT
CNR is probably the better buy right now. Likes CP but it is trading at 20x which is expensive. CNR has a better price to growth level.
HOLD
Rails in general are very highly valued because management has increased their efficiencies. FMV is about 22% lower than the current price. It's had a nice bounce. Next technical target is $112. Somewhat speculative now. Management will need to work hard on KSU integration to justify expensive stock price.
COMMENT
Owns CN Rail and is happy with the share price recovering lately. The play book has been to invest in railroads facing activist pressure. Feels that there will be big changes in CNR soon. CP is also good. Positive on railroads. Lots of upside potential in CNR.
BUY
The duopoly in Canada between CNR-T and CP-T: they are both great companies. It is tougher to get truckers. The rails are going to be important for the next couple of decades. There might be some digestion through M&A or there could be earnings beats. It is great for a long term hold.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
CN vs. CP He sold CNR earlier this year over high valuation. Both enjoy an oligopoly. Another concern is growth for both rails. Exit when the PE gets too stretch. Both were so desperate for growth that they battled over KSU. He prefers CP, though both are well run, though both PEs are rich. He'd add to CP on a pullback.
DON'T BUY
CP vs. CN They're in the process of buying KSU, beating out CN last month. CN is the better rail with better assets than CP. Facing an activist shareholder, CN just announced $700 million in cost savings to return to their industry-leading operating ratio. CP's issue is that it has a weaker network, but will be boosted if they absorb KSU. He's not sure it's a slam dunk that CP will win KSU, because the US federal commission may balk. If it does happen, CP will take on a lot of leverage and integration risk that will distract them in their core business that cold let CN take away some of that market share.
HOLD
CP vs. CNR Rail industry is a great area to be in. Limited competition, strong barriers to entry, environmentally friendly, pricing power, got rid of non-core assets. Continue to own them, even on the dips. As the economy gets better, they'll do well. The KSU deal will make CP more competitive with CNR. Two of the best companies in the sector in NA. Own one or both.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 27/20, Up 13%) Keep an eye on to buy again in the future. Fires have held up shipping. Numbers likely to come down. Relative price performance has been weak. Cyclicals need to be traded, not held forever. He's waiting for the next quarter, and more water under the bridge for the KSU deal. Great operator. Cautious short-term.
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