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TSE:TOU
The caller asked about his preference between Tourmaline and CNQ. Both are the highest quality oil and gas companies in Canada. Tourmaline is superbly run but is natural gas weighted and moves around a lot along with the price of natural gas. CNQ is more diversified and therefore its stock price is steadier.
Best in terms of management, balance sheet, and returning capital to shareholders. Management is best in class. Recently increased dividend, plus special dividends. Low-cost provider gives them the best balance sheet, profits are fantastic. He's positive on oil and gas. Bonavista acquisition will do great things for the company. Will increase production by further acquisitions at fair prices. Yield is 1.43%.
(Analysts’ price target is $84.16)A dominant nat gas company that's well-run. They move gas from Canada to California. Because there are no processing plants for LNG in Canada right now, TOU has been sending their gas to the US to refine then ship to Asia, but receive a much better price. Volumes aren't large yet, but Asian demand is strong.
His favourite is natural gas. Solar is at the mercy of the sun, and suffers on cloudy days. Nat gas you can turn on and off at will. The more solar and wind power, there will be more nat gas demand with nat gas as a back-up. He read a book that says that modern civilization depends on 4 cornerstones which all rely on fossil fuels: fertilizer-driven agriculture, cement, steel and plastics. Even if every car was an EV, we'd still need fossil fuels. TOU has tremendous reserves and pays a good yield.
(Analysts’ price target is $81.00)Canada's top natural gas producer. Nat gas price was temporarily depressed, so this presents an opportunity. Hitting its 50-day MA, so technically not a bad entry point. Value score is 10/10, fundamental 9/10. Street consensus is Outperform. In a position to improve financial resilience and boost shareholder returns. Yield is 1.54%.
(Analysts’ price target is $80.56)Best in class for management, assets, and balance sheet. Recently increased dividend, often declares special dividend. Very little debt. Opportunities in LNG. Wildfires have hampered a bit, but not substantially. He's holding, and would add on weakness. Yield is 1.47%.
(Analysts’ price target is $80.00)He's bullish natural gas in western Canada. LNG Canada is coming online in 2025, a game changer for nat gas demand in Canada. Also, there have been two recent FIDs (final investment decisions) in the US, where LNG production is set to increase. All this means, more nat gas production and higher, more stable pricing. Likes TOU a lot, but owns the similar Arc Resources.
Sentiment toward security of fuel has changed, brought on by the Russian invasion of Ukraine. His estimates show that Canadian nat gas production will have to increase 30-50% by 2030 to satisfy LNG demand.
Unique, as they have access to the Gulf Coast, good egress in California. His favourite stock, but still frustrating. A staple in the energy space.