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TSE:CP
He likes the oligopoly-type names with few competitors. #2 market cap in the industry. Robust network connecting key markets. Acquisition lets them grow further. Strong management, highly committed to profitability. Steady margin improvement. Rising demand for freight services. Slow and steady, outperformed the TSX for decades. Yield is 0.68%.
(Analysts’ price target is $120.06)Attractive industry with strong, defensive attributes. Coming into a time when there's potential for the economy to weaken, with a big impact on the rails. His preference in the space because of footprint and recent acquisition. Very attractive. Long term, onshoring is a benefit. Well run. Wait, buy on pullback.
PE ratios are too close to call. Yield on CNR is about 2%, versus 1% for CP. No one's going to buy it for income. Looking at the FMV, the stock prices are so close for each, you really can't judge.
Big difference is the book value. CP looks so cheap on price to book because of accounting decisions on its Kansas City purchase. So he can't tell if that's real or not. When he looks at CNR's SVA chart, it has an easy downside in weak markets to about $116. That's not trivial.
Dead heat on a merry-go-round. Neither is reasonably attractive right now.
Very valuable acquisition over the long term. May take a while to realize the synergies, but they'll get there. Future acquisitions will be difficult for all rails, so this one was very timely. Can't replicate those assets. Can now service Canada, US, and Mexico directly. Will benefit from onshoring. Yield is 0.74%.
(Analysts’ price target is $120.48)
Yes, and certainly on any pullback. Great company. Merger will benefit in the long run, synergies haven't started yet. Those new assets are why he prefers it to CNR. Long term, it will be one of the best railroads you can own.